mai 24, 2025
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With graduates only seventh grade does not make a modern economy

With graduates only seventh grade does not make a modern economy


Less enrollment of young people in the high school stage of education inevitably means less completed secondary education in the labor market after several yearswrites Adrian Nikolov in a text about The Institute of Market Economics Weekly Bulletinwhich « diary » publishes.
Published this week for education in Bulgaria For the 2024/2025 school year, they continue to outline a worrying trend – since the pandemic, the share of students enrolled in the high school stage gradually decreased, which inevitably means fewer people who graduate from secondary education. In the context of the realities of the labor market, it also means more and more people who will face great difficulties to find jobsS

The group net coefficient of registration of the population in the education system – the number of students, attributed to the entire population in the age group, has been considered in more detail. The statistics offer two alternative calculations on this indicator, one according to the specific educational degree and the other – according to the age group.

Within the last four years, for which there is comparable data, the enrollment coefficient in pre -school education is gradually increasing, by just over two points to 88.6%. However, the maintenance of low -down cases means that the expansion potential is limited by the possibilities of providing enough places in the crib and kindergartens In the largest cities, where the solution is rather missing so far. In primary education, the share of the enrolled remains relatively stable – about 93%.

The state received a good 3.53 for its care for children

In the above educational degrees, expectedly, enrollment decreases. There is a visible reduction in the high school stage – from 91.4% to 89.6% between the school 2021/22 and 2024/25. However, the most significant reduction in school education is the average – from 87.5% to 84.7% or by almost 3 percentage points within four years. Consideration of the age indicator leads to a similar conclusion.

The regional breakdown also largely explains the dynamics. While in areas with the best functioning school education systems – those of the capital, Smolyan, Blagoevgrad, Veliko Turnovo – the share of the high school in the high school is over 90%, in Sliven it is below 60%, in a number of other areas – Dobrich, Haskovo, Sofia, Yambol – about 75%; In other words, one fourth in them for high school does not study for one reason or another.

The Minister of Education criticized Sofia for insufficient scope of children in pre -school groups

The Minister of Education criticized Sofia for insufficient scope of children in pre -school groups

The outlined dynamics is largely expected – ultimately, compulsory education ends at the age of 16. The changes from 2019 also play their role, which allowed the completion of the « first high school stage » after the end of the tenth grade and the establishment of « United » schools that do not include the last two years of school education. It is also worth mentioning the coincidence of the start of the trend to a decline in the enrollment coefficient with the pandemic period, when the systematic measures to improve the scope of school education were terminated. Due to the regional distribution, there is apparently a more serious problem with the scope of the high school education system in the regions with a higher population than minorities.

The less enrollment of young people in the high school stage of education inevitably means less completed secondary education in the labor market in a few years. This is a problem for at least two interconnected reasons. According to the latest available workforce monitoring as of the first quarter of 2025, unemployment among average was 3.7%-almost four times lower than that of graduates of primary or lower education. The employment of people with secondary education is 71%, in those with a primary – 31%, and in those with elementary or lower – only 27%. On the reverse, the annual analysis of the employment of the Employment Agency is indicating less and less need for low education workers and without qualification. When people with low education and skills still find jobs, they are most often low-production and poorly paid.

Against the backdrop of the negative demographic dynamics, the chronic shortage of workers and the clear need to increase labor productivity to preserve economic growth, the shrinking of the scope of high school education should be seen as an important problem that must find its solution as quickly as possible. Future workers who are left without education today will not be able to unleash their full potential, and without the maximum qualified workforce, the hopes of creating a modern economy in our country are unattainable.



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