Why does the price of oil falls and that of gasoline isn’t it? All factors to consider

The commercial war launched by Trump has demolished the price of oil. After the announcement of the 90 -day truce for mutual duties there was the rebound but the value of crude oil remained very far from that of the beginning of the year. In Italy, the lists with the petrol and diesel pump, however substantially stable in recent weeks. Although the average national prices have fallen to the minimum since the beginning of the year. Let’s see why.

The collapse of oil

On April 2, the day Trump announced the duties, Brent closed at 74.95 dollars a barrel while the intermediary West Texas exchanged in New York at 71.7 dollars. On Wednesday both the Brent and the WTI collapsed below 60 dollars, losing about 20% in a week. On Friday 11 April, after the announcement of the stop at rates, the oil closed on the rise of over 2% to New York Nymex, while remaining on the lowest levels of the last few months. At the end of the operations, contracts on Brent were exchanged at 64.8 dollars per barrel, growing by 2.4%, while those on the WTI at 61.5 dollars, up 2.4%. Just above 60 dollars.

Petrol prices

Compared to the peaks recorded in 2025, the oil is now depreciated by 23%, with the WTI ranging from 78 dollars to the barrel in mid -January to the current 60 dollars, while the Brent dropped from 82 dollars in January to the current 63 dollars, observed in recent days the Codacons highlighting that the price of petrol at the pump has gone from an average to the self of 1.823 euros per liter to the current € 1,764 euro, with a reduction of just -3.2%. While the diesel went from a meda of 1.726 euros/liter of mid -January to today’s 1.662 euros, down -3.7%. If the reduction of the oil moved directly to the price lists to the distributors, a liter of petrol would cost just over 1.4 euros, with a saving of about 36 cents per liter compared to current price lists, equal to -18 euros in full. The diesel would cost around 1.33 euros per liter, with a saving of 16.6 euros per full. Between the drop in crude oil and that of gasoline there is an « abnormal disproportion that once again demonstrates the anomalies of the oil sector, with the prices of pump fuels that immediately rise to the growth of crude oil, but do not fall proportionally when the oil prices collapse », denounces the Codacons.

What this difference is due

But what is this gap due to? Azzurra Pacces, an expert on daily relay, in recent days explained that «It is not correct to compare the drops in the price of oil to those of petrol and diesel diesel at the pump, since the industrial prices of fuel have a connected but distinct market compared to the oil. To the industrial cost, that of logistics must then be added, which can also be high, including, among other items, the costs for transport and to fulfill the obligation to mix with biofuels « . Another reason for the gap lies in the fact that probably the companies do not want to devalue a product already purchased at significantly higher prices. The taxes on gasoline (excise+VAT) are also engraved that 60% weigh on the final price, while those for diesel for 56.2%. Currently the excise duties on fuels are 62 cents per liter for diesel and 73 for petrol. The reform of the Meloni government provides that within 5 years increase for diesel and descend to petrol, in a progressive alignment path of the two distinct levels of taxation.