Who understands this? Total increased commerce than in a single part
Can anyone get five if you have only a triple and a quad? Let’s not get the answer, as retail sales could expand by 5 percent, according to the Statistical Office, the growth was smaller in all areas. With the help of an expert, we tried to figure out how it could be. In any case, the government is satisfied, but commercial chains say the black man may now come.
The Central Statistical Office provided spectacular and very strange data. According to the CSO, in April 2025, retail traffic According to raw data, it was 6.8 percent and 1.0 percent above the calendar effect (and Easter).
So far, it would be okay, you could be happy, though this data is very strange compared to the fact that the growth was much smaller last month. However, if we look at which sector has grown within the retail, we will be very strange.
According to the HCSO, sales increased by 3.7 percent in the food and grocery mixed stores, 4.0 % in non-food trade and 2.4 percent in fuel retailer compared to a year earlier. However, this would mean that retail could grow by 5 percent with a total increase in any sub -sector. But how is this possible?
John the Greataccording to Erste Bank’s macroeconomic analyst, it is extremely strange that the growth rates of all three main groups of commercial groups were one at a time behind the total expansion rate of total traffic. He added to our request that the professional explanation of the data can be seasonal. He drew attention to the fact that the crude, uniform data, which is not included in the HCSO’s announcement, but available on its website, are fundamentally right: the 6.8 percent expansion could come with proper weighting from 10.7, 4.0 and 1.8 percent.
However, without knowing the professional background, János Nagy, according to János Nagy, can be strange how to get five if they have only triple and four. Therefore, in this case, it would be advisable to clarify what the reason for this is.
At first, we also asked for the interpretation of strange numbers from the HCSO, and if we get an answer, we’ll update our article.
Great chains say dark clouds are already gathering
The National Trading Association, which brings together a large foreign chain, is 3.7 percent in April in the food and food mixed retail stores, based on traffic growth, that customers’ confidence still has not returned to the second half of 2024. Between August 2024 and January 2025, the expansion of retail sales was typically above 4 percent in « grocery mixed » shops, ie the super- hypermarkets and discounts that gave most of the consumption.
According to OKSZ, this momentum broke out in February and March due to the inflation of the upheaval and the government response to it. According to them, the expansion of consumption was not extremely strong in the second half of last year, as due to the prolonged uncertainty of customers, its extent was far below the rate of real wages.
According to the alliance that compresses multi with the harmful effects of maintaining the margin stop Customers are not yet met, but they are with us. In recent months, some suppliers have been willing to postpone price increases because they trusted that, after the margin on May 31, the retail retail will be more flexible to the flood negotiations. According to OKSZ, there is a danger that suppliers are now trying to enforce these needs. The rise in consumer prices from this is unable to curb only. The total supply chain is needed to reduce price increases, the OKSZ says.
Márton Nagy’s ministry is very satisfied
The Ministry of National Economy evaluates the data of the HCSO in a completely different way, showing a dynamic increase in retail sales. Their announcement states: “In order to protect Hungarian families and pensioners, the government will always take action against unjustified price increases. To this end, the government has introduced margins and then that extended to household and chemicals, cleaning and beauty articleswhich resulted in a quick and significant drop in price. However, the government does not stop here, he also negotiates with the actors in the pharmaceutical sector”.
