What does NRC think | Trump can occur as a potentate, he is weaker than expected

Since Franklin D. Roosevelt took the first hundred days of his presidency in 1933 to lead the country from the great depression, it has been to reflect on this milestone in the US. The ‘First 100 days‘Are a time to lay the new leadership along the yardstick. What ends up from campaign blows? And what does this say about the remaining years?

On Wednesday, Donald Trump is a hundred days (back) in the White House – although for many it will look longer. « Only 1,361 days to go, » counts The Economist This week off on his cover, in addition to an illustration of a delayed American eagle. Trump kicked off with an avalanche of decisions, appointments and threats. This’Flooding the Zone‘Opponents must overwhelm in and outside Washington. His team challenges the rule of law every day, travels officials and conducts a cultural revolution against the press and science. On the world stage, the US is in the Anti -Western camp and break down the liberal world order that they built up themselves in eighty years. The global economy has been poured in chaos with a confused trade war.

Trump imitates autocrats such as Orbán, Putin, Netanyahu or Erdogan. In three months he tries to get it done, which took such kinds of my mind for years or even decades. During the first demonstrations against his reign, slogans are right as’No kingsor ‘or’Russia 2.0. ‘

Yet Trump is not the powerful leader he pretends. More than any predecessor in the past half century he rules by decree. In his first three months he signed 130. For comparison: in his entire first term (2017-2021) there were ‘only’ 220. His direct predecessor Joe Biden kept it at 162.

Roosevelt is a record holder: he drew hundreds every year Executive orders. But ‘FDR’ is considered effective. In his first hundred days, he knew fifteen major laws through the guiding congress. Although Trump and his Republicans in the congress have a double majority, they do not even get the budget. The president prefers to use the black marker with which he draws decrees as a magic wand. For a man who tells the people through tabloids and reality TV that he is a business genius, this fits into a pattern. Trump Veinst power such as an influencer success or wealth manifests on Instagram.

But decrees are not a panacea. Politically, they are regarded as a weakness. A successor can turn them back in no time. If Trump wants to save the country from ‘crazy left -wing democrats’, as he calls the opposition, why does he not anchored his policy in meaningful legislation? Apart from the fact that Trump misses the political ingenuity for this, the answer is that the most radical points of his agenda are deep unpopular. Republicans know that. And unlike Trump – who cannot be re -elected in spite of his flirt with a third term – the voter still has to face.

The next congress elections are at the end of 2026. Certainly now that Trumps taxes are slowing down the economy and its popularity is falling, President and Party can be tempted to manipulate the polls. The opposition must certainly be alert to that and Trump will still demolish a lot. But as long as the US has free elections, the country is not (yet) the dictatorship that Trump aspires. The fact that he presents himself as a potential should not intimidate or discourage democratic opposing forces.

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