Ukraine sowed unrest to Russia. What happened after Russian Pearl Harbore

Kiev, BRATISLAVA. Significant, but so far, unrequited damage to the Russian strategic aviation, its international reputation, nuclear potential, as well as home security can be credited Ukraine After Sunday successful attack on four military airports deep in the Russian inland.

« Putin has not yet seriously felt the price for the continuation of the war. Ukraine has just changed the equation by one of the most extraordinary asymmetric attacks we know from the modern history of the war, » wrote on Facebook American political analyst Ian Bremmer.

He is convinced that Ukraine has also weakened the potential of the Russian nuclear deterioration and the possibilities of the so -called attack. the second attack, ie nuclear retaliation if Mask was attacked.

« At the same time, this is an opportunity and very dangerous development, » he said.

If the information of the Ukrainian secret service of the SBU is confirmed that it was able to damage or destroy 41 Russian bombers in the attack, the Russian strategic aviation would actually shrink by about a third.

Aerial expert Valerii Romennko for RBC-Ukraine says that the Russian strategic aviation has suffered at least 10-15 percent losses and goes to the past. Damaged aircraft will also fix the problem.

Meanwhile, two important meetings took place in the shadow of the attack. In Istanbul, the Russian and Ukrainian delegation met at peace negotiations, in the meantime the representatives of the countries of Bucharest Nine, Nordic States, were negotiating in Vilnius, the representatives of the Bucharest. NATO and Ukraine.

They learned in the museum

At a time when Ukraine started to plan the cobweb surgery at the highest secret President United States yet Joe BidenAmerican support of Ukraine was fluctuating, but Washington Kiev was supplied by Patriot air shots, British recalls The Times.

Ukraine resisted intensive Russian attacks, which often came from the air – bombers from the depth of the Russian airspace broadcast on Ukraine missiles with a flat -rate of flight, which have a range of thousands of kilometers.

Kiev had to come up with his own solution to neutralize bombers that his air defense had no chance of reaching.

Knowing the necessity that the bombers need to be destroyed by drones on the ground and the drones must take off from the Russian interior, thus born the surgery web.

Ukraine was in charge of hundreds of drones with cameras with camerasit hid them in the transport containers with the roofs for remote control. They opened when the hired Russian drivers parked trucks in the parking lots near the selected air bases.

The President personally watched the operation Volodymyr Želenskyjwho announced that 117 drones were used in the attack. It was he who released the news that the drones hit 34 percent of Russian strategic bombers.

They were helped by artificial intelligence – the Ukrainians trained it on museum aircraft that remained the country from a time when she still had a strategic aviation and a nuclear arsenal.

On aircraft Tu-95 and Tu-22M3 in the Aviation Museum in Poltava, the program « learned » to recognize aircraft silhouettes.

Tu-95 is a type developed in the 1950s, the production of its more modern variants ended in the early 1990s, and although Russia continuously modernized these aircraft, it is unlikely to produce the new one.

The type of TU-22M3 is similar (M3 is important, it is not only a version, TU-22 is a completely different type of aircraft). It is a more modern type, but its production also ended in the early 1990s, he also pointed out British think-tank Russians.

« Even if Ukrainian information about 41 affected aircraft was true only half, it would still have a significant impact on the ability of Russian remote aviation to maintain regular attacks on Ukraine and maintain nuclear deterioration and patrol flights for NATO and NATO and Patrol flights Japan« wrote Russians Justin Bronk.

Began to be afraid of trucks

Ukrainian expert Roman Šeremeta also pointed out the psychological effect of the Ukrainian attack. According to him, Kiev deliberately communicates aloud and intensively about the attack.

« Ukraine does not only celebrate tactical success. It has also caused psychological and economic damage to Russia, » Linkedin wrote on the network.

According to him, every truck in Russia is suspicious today, Russia will be forced to sacrifice capacities to test freight on inland roads away from the battlefield. This will slow not only commercial transport, but also military logistics.

« Ukraine has not only destroyed aircraft. As a weapon she sowed uncertainty into the Russian system, » she comments. In this way, according to Smeremet, a modern asymmetrical war works – there is no need to achieve parity with the enemy in terms of quantity, it will help, even if the enemy begins to doubt its own system.

Russia will answer

« Such an operation since the Second World War is unparalleled, may be compared to when Israeli Mossad has broken up with representatives Hezbollah« commented on the attack by former Slovak Foreign Minister Miroslav Wlachovský in the SME Arena program. In a large secret operation, Israel smuggled the leaders of Hezbollah pagers with explosives.

However, according to Wlachovský, the Ukrainian attack is far away from any ceasefire.

« We do not know how Russia will react, but we can assume that it will be violent and devastating, » Professor of Strategic Studies Phillips O’Brien responded to Times.

Wlachovský does not expect Russia to commit a nuclear counterattack. « It would lose a number of fundamental and key supporters. Russia is now largely dependent on China and China certainly is not interested in the conflict to escalate into a nuclear form, » Wlachovský thinks.

However, the close end of the war in Ukraine does not see. « I think that one who does not really want peace in Ukraine is primarily Vladimir Putin. Currently, the Russian Federation has a slight superiority. It will be important to what extent US Presidentbut also American Congressthey can push Putin and the Russian Federation, « he said in the arena.

Negotiations did not move

Although both the Ukrainian and Russian delegation met in Istanbul on Monday, the ceasefire negotiations almost did not move. Russia again rejected the Ukrainian proposal for the unconditional stop of fire that would create space for negotiations to end the war, He writes BBC.

Ukrainian Defense Minister Rusta UMER, who led the Ukrainian delegation, said that fundamental things could only be solved between Volodymyr Green and Vladimir Putin and that such a meeting could take place by the end of June.

For such a meeting with the present Donald Trump was also said Turký President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

However, Ukraine and Russia agreed to exchange injured prisoners of war and body remains.

Meanwhile, Zelenskyj himself visited the meeting of the Bucharest Format countries (states on the eastern border of NATO) and the Nordic states in Vilnius, where NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte also came.

He assured the Allies of the Alliance’s devotion, including the United States of Collective Defense.