There will be a human level AI in two years and no stopping

• Artificial intelligence can reach human level abilities by several new forecasts by 2027
• The development of AGI (artificial general intelligence) is increasing exponentially
• Development also raises the appearance of ASI (artificial super intelligence) that already goes beyond human understanding
• The impact of artificial intelligence is also a social and philosophical point of view because it extends the issue of human existence
• We need to prepare for the much closer cooperation of man and ai

Artificial intelligence can come to a historic turning point within two years, at least this is predicted by “AI 2027” reportwhich has spread as a wildfire in the technological sphere in recent weeks. According to the research, by the end of 2027 we can reach AGI, that is, human-level artificial intelligence, and even a few months can be created by artificial super intelligence (ASI). The possibilities Gary GrossmanGlobal leader of the Edelman ai Center of Excellence has thought about Venturebeat portal.

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The article could be described by a traditional, human method, but rather asked Chatgptto do this task in many ways. Finally, we added more important details. And that’s exactly what is expected in the future. Artificial intelligence and man must work together.

AGI (Artificial General Intelligence (artificial general intelligence) – explains Grossman – not just another chatbot or image generator. This would be a system that can accomplish in every cognitive task that a person can solve: solving problems, learning, adapting, drawing conclusions, but can even be creative. And ASI is already soaring us, that is, it represents an intelligence level that we do not understand, cannot follow, and cannot control.

What happens in the next 24 months?

The report maps the expected development of AI in a quarterly demolition:

• 2025-2026: increasingly advanced multimodal systems (which understand text, image, sound), while AIs make decisions independently appear.
• End of 2026 Earlier: AI models are not only imitating people, but also gaining a real, general sense.
• From mid -2027: we can enter the ASI era if AGI continues to develop quite quickly.

Not all researchers share the 2027 prophecy. According to Ali Farhadi, leader of Allen Institute for AI, this forecast is « more desire for desire than reality. » Other professionals, such as Jack Clark, co -founder Anthropic, believes that this is the most raised scenario we have seen so far. This coincides with the CEO of Anthropic, With the timeline outlined by Dario Amodei Also, who says that in the next two or three years, artificial intelligence will arrive in almost everything. And Google Deepmind is a In a new research document He claimed that AGI could probably arrive by 2030.

According to the AI ​​2027 report, the development of AGI is not linear but exponential. What is still a research level today will be a product for tomorrow. Developing AGI-capable systems, which is the common goal of the world’s largest technology companies. Once someone manages to break the border, the others will follow it quickly.

What about people?

The biggest question is how does this process affect society? According to the report the biggest danger in the short term to the labor market:

• Office work (customer service, administration, text writing, translation, programming) can be automated.
• People retraining cannot keep up with the development of machines.
• In the case of an economic crisis, companies choose AI instead of man.

Even if AGI does not lead to the loss of significant jobs or the extinction of species, it has serious consequences. Human existence has been based on the conviction since the age of reason that we are important because we think.

The belief that thinking determines our existence has deep philosophical roots. René Descartes There were some who formulated the now famous saying in 1637: « Je Pense, Donc Je Suis » (« I think, so I am »). He later translated it into Latin, « Cogito, ergo sum. » By doing so, he claimed that certainty could be found in the act of individual thinking. Even if his senses were deceived or misled by others, the fact that he thought, proved that it exists.

In this view, the self is anchored in cognition. It was a revolutionary idea in the era, and it provided the basis for the humanism of the Enlightenment, the scientific method, and finally the modern democracy and individual rights. Man became the central figure of the modern world as a thinker.

Which raises a profound question: if the machines are able to think or appear today, and we outsource our thinking to artificial intelligence, what does this mean to my modern perception? The fresh study He examines this riddle. He found that when people rely on generative artificial intelligence in their work, they think less criticallywhich over time « can lead to deterioration of cognitive abilities to be preserved. »

What is coming now?

If AGI comes in the next few years – or shortly after – then we have to fight quickly with the consequences, not only for jobs and security, but also who we are. We have to do all this while admitting that AGI has extraordinary opportunities for accelerating discoveries, reducing suffering and unprecedented human abilities. For example, Amodei said that « high-performance artificial intelligence » allows you to condense 100 years of biological research and its benefits, including better health care, for 5-10 years.

The forecasts presented in AI 2027 are either correct or not, but believable and provocative, says Grossman. And this credibility must be enough. Like people who are capable of acting, as well as members of companies, governments and societies, we have to act now to prepare for what can come.

For businesses, this means that we need to invest in both technical AI security research and organizational flexibility and develop roles that integrate their AI abilities while reinforcing human strengths. For governments, this requires accelerated development of regulatory frameworks that deal with immediate concerns such as models and longer -term existential risks. For individuals, this means that continuous learning needs to be supported that focus on unique human abilities, including creativity, emotional intelligence and complex judgment, while establishing healthy working relationships with AI devices that do not reduce our involvement- Write the Venture Beat.

While AGI has been predicted around 2050 a few years ago, the date is now increasingly 2027. According to some models, super intelligence can be born that year. The question is not whether it is possible, but at what price and how we prepare for it. If you are interested in the future – and how to prevail as a person – you have to start dialogue about it now. Because the era of human supremacism may have already begun, but we have not yet noticed.