The Times Analysis/ The Trump Peace Agreement is terrible, Ukraine must accept anyway

However, the experience shows that such moments of clarification from Trump have been rare and short -lived. At the moment, Ukraine still has to face the consequences of a painful ultimatum: a peace agreement that violates international law and the basic principles of honesty.

The proposed conditions
The plan, not yet public in detail, provides for an immediate ceasefire and direct talks between Kiev and Moscow. Ukraine would be banned from NATO membership, while signing an agreement on minerals and infrastructure with the United States. The US, meanwhile, would recognize Russian sovereignty over Crimea and de facto control over other occupied territories, removing sanctions on Russia with the possibility of returning them in the event of a new aggression.

For Ukraine, tired of a brutal war that has caused hundreds of thousands of killed and wounded, millions of refugees and colossal damage, these conditions constitute a terrible price for imposed peace.

Consequences and risks
Accepting such an agreement would risk repeating the past mistakes of the West – such as Russia’s impunity after the conquest of Georgia in 2008 and the annexation of Crimea in 2014 – encouraging Putin for more aggression in the future. Also, such a precedent could encourage Beijing to take similar steps against Taiwan.

Despite this, for a Ukraine fighting for survival and suffering from lack of American support in the event of a new Trump administration, the elections are very limited.

Will Zelensky survive?
Such an agreement, though it could bring peace, would threaten President Zelensky’s political position. Surveys show that half of the Ukrainians may be ready to consider the exchange of land for peace, but the anger at the consequences of the war would require a « culprit ».

There are some movements from Moscow suggesting flexibility. Russia, under new conditions, would withdraw some territories in the south to restore Ukraine’s access to the Dnipro River and would abandon claims for other regions it does not currently control them.

Also, although Ukraine’s NATO membership is prohibited, military aid is not banned from other allies and its accession to the European Union – which would guarantee security and long -term development.

What to do?
If the agreement is imposed, Ukrainian allies must ensure that the country remains sovereign, democratic and protected. This includes reiancement, aid to reconstruct civil infrastructure and strengthen the protection of new borders. Also, the confiscation of frozen Russian assets can be used to finance the reconstruction process.

Ukraine can follow examples such as that of East Germany and Croatia, where lost territories were recovered after decades. For this, it is essential for Ukraine to build a strong and successful state to survive and withstand any future threat from Russia.

Although this agreement gives more profits to Putin than Kiev, it can be, despite the pain, the best alternative that Ukraine can provide under current circumstances. Unless a major change is achieved through diplomacy, Zelensky and his nation may be forced to accept this compromise – not as surrender, but as a temporary step towards a safer and brighter future.

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Tags: accept, agreement, analysis, peace, terrible, times, Trump, Ukraine

The Times Analysis/ The Trump Peace Agreement is terrible, Ukraine must accept anyway

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