The PSOE cuts distances with the PP and Vox rises again after having accused wear for its support for Trump | Spain

The PSOE cuts distances with the PP, which loses a point in vote estimation, according to the last 40DB Institute Barometer. For the country and the SER chain. The popular accumulate, in the last five months, their worst data from 23-J and are 32.8%, while the Socialists rise half a percentage point, to 29.8%. Vox, who seemed to accuse Donald Trump and the announcement of the Tariff War of US President In the previous surveynow rises half a point in vote estimation and remains the only game that would improve the results obtained at the polls in 2023 (1.5% more). Add remains 5.4%, we can upload three tenths and Salf, the political brand of the Ultra Alise Pérez agitator, leaves half a point with respect to the previous survey.

By blocks, despite the improvement of the PSOE, the difference between the vote estimation that brings together PP and Vox in front of the socialists, the voters of adding and those of Pode Already the loss of space support to the left of the PSOE: add almost seven points from 23-J, which does not correspond to what we would get separately (3.8%). The intention to vote of the parties that supported the investiture of Pedro Sánchez (Junts, ERC, EH Bildu, PNV, BNG and CC) is located as a whole almost one point below what they obtained at the polls.

The survey (2,000 interviews on-line) It was held between the past May 23 and 26, when the dissemination of audios of a PSOE militant, Leire Díez, trying to get compromising information about a command of the Central Operational Unit (UCO) of the Civil Guard He unleashed a political earthquake. In those days, they were two former high positions charged of the Government of Isabel Díaz Ayuso for the triage protocols in the residences that ruled out the hospitalization of seniors in the pandemic; The defense of Pedro Sánchez’s brother, David Sánchez, accused of administrative prevarication and influence peddling, recriminated Badajoz’s magistrate That he sends it to trial without waiting for the Provincial Court to resolve the resources against their processing, and the leader of the Extremadura socialists, Miguel Ángel Gallardo, investigated in the same cause for the same crimes, He proposed to eliminate the aforements later to have resigned as president of the Diputación de Badajoz to urgently incorporate the Assembly of Extremadura and thus achieve its own aforement.

In addition, the couple of the Madrid president, Alberto González Amador, processed this Thursday by fiscal fraud and falsification of documents, He went to declare to the Supreme Court In the case that investigates the State Attorney General for Revelation of Secrets, where he admitted that his lawyer had explained that agreeing meant to recognize the crimes. In the period in which the survey was carried out, the government too promoted an international coalition to sanction Israel For the massacre over Gaza. You can consult all survey data here.

Voting transfers

The 40DB study. It shows that Vox still has the most faithful voter: 83.8%of its 2023 support would repeat today, followed by the PP (82.4%) and the PSOE (73.7%). If the generals were celebrated now, the popular would give up 6% of their votes to the Abascal Party, a percentage similar to the fact that the formation of the extreme right loses in favor of the party is over. The socialists are the ones who accumulate the most undecided (9.5%) and in the Electorate to add the bewilderment: they only retain 48.3% of their voters of 2023; 29.2% would opt for Podemos and another 7.6% by the PSOE.

Intention to vote by gender and age

Socialists are imposed on the PP in intention to vote – even without democopic correction, known as kitchen– both in the male electorate (21.1%) and in the female (25%), although the first option in both cases is that of abstentionists, undecided and who today would vote blank or null. As the last polls have been pointing out, women show greater disenchantment towards the current political offer than men.

Vox obtains 5.5 more points in intention to vote in the male electorate (18.5%) than in the female (13%). In the space to the left of the PSOE, add is imposed on Podemos both among women and in men and both formations, which have registered scandals related to macho attitudes of former leaders, Íñigo Errejónon the one hand, and Juan Carlos Monedero for the otherThey obtain better results among the male electorate than in the female.

By ages, Vox, with 24.9%(almost four percentage points more than in the previous poll) remains the first game in intention to vote in the strip of the 18 to 24 years, with 3.3 points ahead over the second, the PSOE (21.6%), and 5.2 points on the third, the PP (19.7%). It is also imposed on forks aged 25 to 34 (26.2%) and 35 to 44 (21.1%). The Abascal Party obtains its worst data in the strips of 55 to 64 and over 65 (9% and 10.9%, respectively). Vox is imposed on the sum of the Diaz and Podemos platform at all ages, except in the fork of 55 to 64, where they tied.

The popular are the first political force in intention to vote between those over 65 (25.6%) and the socialists, among voters from 45 to 64 years. The abstentionists, undecided and who today would vote in white or null are above 20.5% in all stripes, being the one from 45 to 54 the most politically demotivated (27.9%).