The origin of the pandemia that shakles the world is still speaking – the Finnish professor’s view
Coronavirus|Intelligence services in different countries consider leakage from the virus laboratory as a potential explanation for pandemic. Still, Olli Vapalahti, professor of virology, considers the natural origin to be the most likely.
Five Issues related to the origin of the corona pandemia, which had fallen into the world, have emerged again. In German media, the German foreign intelligence BND was published in 2020 that the pandemic was highly likely to escape the virus from a laboratory in China.
In March, German magazines reported the issue Die Zeit and Süddeutsche Zeitung. According to magazines Angela Merkel had ordered a BND estimate of the origin of the virus. However, the report was not published. BND had found signs that the laboratory had modified viruses for research reasons more easily to spread to people.
At the time, BND estimated that there was an 80-90 % probability that the Sars-Cov-2 virus was released from the Wuhan Virology Laboratory in China. The new coronavirus was observed in Wuhan in late 2019. China has strongly denied the possibility of escaping from the laboratory.
The US Central Intelligence Service CIA said in January that, according to its new estimate, pandemic was more likely to come from a laboratory than in nature. According to the CIA, both options were possible.
According to German newspapers, BND distributed his assessment to the CIA last fall. The US Federal Police FBI also found a lot of evidence that supported the theory of escaping from the laboratory, the US magazine said Vanity Fair in February.
Helsinki university professor of virology Olli Vapalahti According to the scientific evidence, the natural origin of the virus still speaks rather than escaping from the laboratory.
« This estimate had been on the German intelligence service in 2020 in the light of current information. In that sense, this may not be big news. The CIA has been transferred to this lab, but only to some extent. Of course I cannot know what these countries’ intelligence services are based on their knowledge. But generally what has been published in the peer -to -peer. That this is a virus of natural origin, ”says Vapalahti.
« Natural means that this type of virus has moved in bat populations and may have ended up in the farmed raccoon dogs that have been available at the Wuhan Animal Market. »
Virus According to Vapalahti, evidence of evolution and spreading geographic modeling is « reasonably clear » to the zoonotic or animal origin of the virus. Thus, explaining what happened does not require a leak from the laboratory.
« Although it is certainly not possible to exclude it with certainty. And of course, the fact that the debate has gone so political and religious will certainly make it more difficult to find out. »
According to Vapalahti, a different kind of origin for the virus cannot be completely ruled out, so no open testimony to the origin of the pandemic can ever be obtained. Thus, there will continue to be space for speculation, and of course, intelligence services may have sources that others have no information. According to Vapalahti, the bio -safety must be taken care of regardless of the origin of the pandemic.
According to Vapalahti’s experiences, thinking about this has not changed dramatically after the years of pandemic years, even though there are disagreements.
The views of the general public have changed clearly, at least in the United States, where about two -thirds of people in 2023 considered leakage from the laboratory to be the most likely origin for the corona virus, said Washington Post. Even at the beginning of the pandemia in 2020, the corresponding proportion was less than one third of the respondents, said Pew Research.
In 2023 American Society for Microbiology in a broad review Both hypotheses were examined from the origin of the virus. The basic problem is that evidence or exclusion of the laboratory alphabet would require a transparent examination of the work of the Wuhan Virology Institute, which China prevented.
However, according to the evidence collected from the first documented infections that was accompanied by the Wuhanian esophagus in the end of 2019, the review made it more likely than laboratory theory.
According to Vapalahti, it is worrying to combat the next major pandemic that, for political reasons, international communicable council cooperation is mainly made more difficult instead of streamlining. In the United States of President Donald Trump announced their second season on the first day of He is leading his country’s World Health Organization from WHO.
« At the moment, the signs of predictions don’t look terribly good, » Vapalahti says.
