mai 8, 2025
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Sonndesfro: black and blue stays at the top

Sonndesfro: black and blue stays at the top

According to the current Sonndesfro Déi Gréng Looking for: Since October 2024 you have won 0.4 percentage points in popularity, since the elections of October 8, 2023, a total of 2.2 percent. If there had been elections at the time of the survey, the opposition party would have gained three mandates in the chamber and would of be seven MPs.

The ADR Is relatively stable, but has to accept slight losses. The opposition party has fallen from 10.7 percent to 9.3 percent since October 2024. Compared to the elections on October 8, 2023, this is only a minus of 0.2 percent – but the party would have to hand in one of its currently five mandates.

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It would be even harder Pirate meet. As early as the Sonndesfro in October 2024, the party would have lost 3.5 percentage points and would only get 3.2 instead of 6.7 percent. At that time, the pirates would have lost their three mandates in the chamber in the case of new elections. And it is precisely this development that continues.

Since the last Sunday question in October, they have had a slight increase of 0.3 percent. However, if you compare the numbers with the last elections, the party loses two of the three mandates with which it had emerged from the elections. Since the MP Ben polidori After the party internal difficulties last summer The party already left had and had passed to the LSAP, the pirates would no longer be represented in parliament. The result remains unchanged for Déi lénk. With an increase of 1.1 percentage points since October and 1.2 percentage points since the elections, they would still have been represented with two MPs in the Chamber.

Voters stand for the current majority

A look at the elections in October 2023 and the mood in May 2025 shows that voters hold on the current majority. While the CSV With 29.1 percent compared to 29.8 percent hardly any points, the DP Add 1.8 percent with 21 percent.

If there were elections at the time of the survey, the distribution of seats would remain unchanged. Also the LSAP would keep your eleven mandates. Compared to the mood on the Sunday question in October 2024 and the current survey, however, there would be a different picture: With a loss of two percentage points, the socialists would lose two mandates – in favor of CSV and DP, each of which would gain one seat.

According to the results of the Ilres opinion research institute, less respondents would panage, i.e. distribute their voices on candidates of various independent people – mainly the supporters of the ADR prefer the list election. With the supporters of the DP, on the other hand, the willingness to panore increases.

How the Sonndesfro comes about

For the political mood barometer, the Ilres polling institute wanted to know which party the population would vote for if there were elections at the time of data collection. For this purpose, a total of 1,841 people entitled to vote were interviewed from 8 to April 24th. The survey took place via the landline (394 people), mobile phone (758) and online (689). These were 499 people in the center, 625 in the south, 358 in the north and 359 in the east.

The Sonndesfro is carried out on behalf of « Luxemburger Word » and RTL Lëtzebuerg. The anonymized raw data were evaluated by Kantar Public Germany. The calculation model takes into account various variables such as age, gender and party identification of the voters as well as the possibility of panahing.



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