Riyadh looks at the nuclear program from the USA. Angry Iran can be angry with this
Trump wants to get closer to Israel.
Washington, BRATISLAVA. Return Donald Trump to the White House could mean the end of the non -extension of nuclear weapons, wrote in January of this year American bulletin of nuclear scientists.
“Iran-Israeli confrontation is intensifying, the threat that Iran He gets a nuclear weapon, is on the horizon, and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia could see the opportunity to establish nuclear cooperation in the second Trump cabinet, which Saudiarabi has longed for a long time, « the analysis said.
US Energy Minister Chris Wright on Sunday in Saudi Arabian metropolis Riyadh by New York Times daily He informed that Washington was negotiating again with the kingdom of an agreement that would provide them with nuclear technology. It is supposed to be exclusively civilian, but the daily itself writes that Saudi Arabia could make it to enriching uranium, which is one of the basic steps to get a nuclear weapon.
Wright’s meeting with the Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Prince Abdulazes Bin Salman is to be the beginning of the journey that will lead to a common American-Saudi nuclear-energy program.
The possibility that Saudi Arabia would start its own nuclear program may have consequences for the safety of a wider region, especially with regard to the nuclear ambitions of Iran. At the same time, he started to discuss the possibility of release sanctions over the weekend with the Americans.
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Several sources point out that Saudi Arabia is primarily about diversification of the energy mix.
« The agreement reflects Washington’s efforts to deepen strategic ties with Riyadh also in order to prevent Riyadh will turn to Beijing or Moscow over time, » said Tomáš Nagy, Globsec analyst, noting that such agreements are always primarily about geopolitics.
In the article you can read:
- What the United States and Saudi Arabia agreed on,
- what an agreement means and what can have an impact on the region,
- How related to Iran or Israel,
- As an expert evaluates it.
They save for uranium
The preliminary agreement according to NYT is linked to the efforts that have already developed the administration of the previous US President Joea Biden And the daily writes that Riyadh has been pushing Washington for years to help him with a civil nuclear program, as he would rely on more than just oil among the energy sources.
« The Trump’s administration clearly sees an opportunity that has synergistic economic and geopolitical sense. The agreement is probably part of the wider US effort to create regional geopolitical architecture that would determine the direction of the region, » Nagy says, according to which Washington would have better control over nuclear weapons. the powers.
NYT recalls that in addition to China, Riyadh also dealt with the possibility of cooperation with Russia.
« If the cooperation starts and Saudskoarabi invests considerable funds, it will be difficult to reverse from the project and change the ‘supplier’ during the project is extremely demanding. This is how Americans perceive it, and for Trump it can be a sufficient guarantee that Saudiarabi will reflect American interests, » Nagy thinks.
The problematic point of Saudi Arabian-American cooperation is the source of nuclear fuel. It is not clear whether it will be delivered by the United States, or it will be produced by Saudi Arabia itself.
The first option for Riyadh would mean a greater dependence on Washington, the second threat that the kingdom would sooner or later come to the ability to develop its own nuclear weapon.
They converge Saudi Arabia with Israel
American willingness to help Saudi Arabia with a nuclear program is also related to the efforts of Washington to normalize relations between Riyadh and Israelom.
The Saudi Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman was willing to establish diplomatic relations with Tel Aviv if Washington helps him with nuclear reactors and provides security guarantees, NYT write.
However, in the autumn of 2023, a terrorist attack invaded Hamas To Israel and the subsequent Israeli retaliatory operations for which most of the surrounding Arab states have been more inclined to the side of Palestine.
However, a possible nuclear program agreement would probably have to go through Congress in the United States. In both chambers, most Republicans, who are on Trump’s side, are currently holding, but the American engagement would have to follow strict rules and in the past the US has encountered opposition, one of the opponents was Marco Rubio, today’s Foreign Minister.
Section 123
The American media and Globsec expert point out that if Americans are to start such cooperation, Washington must have legal guarantees that Riyadh will not be a shortcut to the Military Nuclear Program.
The spread of nuclear weapons, according to Nagy, is still not in the interests of Washington, which must be careful about how such a step will be perceived by Iran, which is trying to develop its own nuclear weapon and nuclearly armed Saudi Arabia would perceive as a threat to which he would have to respond.
Washington « still believes that he has adequate levers to discourage Tehran from such a step, or to prevent him militarily if Iran would proceed to produce a nuclear bomb, » says Nagy.
It is therefore important for Americans to comply with the section 123 of the 1954 Nuclear Energy Act, which is a legal basis for the US civil nuclear cooperation with other states. Riyadh has not yet signed an agreement under this Act with Washington.
According to nuclear scientists, Riyadh would like to set a similar regime of cooperation with the US, what South Korea has and would give Uranus the opportunity to enrich the Uranus. The US is not so willing to approach this, but Bulletin wrote in January that Trump could be more accommodating to Saudi Aarab.
Iran is negotiating with a large satan
While in Riyadh the US delegation argued on a civil nuclear program, in Oman on Saturday was held the first round of negotiations on the Iranian nuclear program between US emissar Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.
Compared to the previous agreement of 2015, from which Trump resigned, several parameters have changed. New York Times They write that talks are only between the US and Iran, with Europe, Mask Whether China are out.
Iran wants to achieve the release of economic sanctions, and the United States, which he calls a great Satan, can provide him with some type of security guarantees as they have an impact on Israel, which is in an indirect conflict with Iran. Iran is a sponsor of several terrorist organizations that attack Israel.
At the same time, the extended hands of Iran include the Huses, a terrorist group that threatens the ships of the Suez Canal from the Yemeni territory.
« This is the best possible start. Maybe they tripped, but they agreed to meet again, meet and agree on common goals, » commented the NYT meeting in Oman Ali Vaez from the international crisis group.
The aim of the United States is that Iran is unable to produce its own nuclear weapon, while discounted from the requirements of Iranian missile program or Iranian support for organizations for Middle Eastthe abolition of the nuclear program appears to be a achievable goal, a newspaper writes.
Iran is continually trying to enrich Uranus, and although he claims that its nuclear program is exclusively civilian, it probably has enough fission material to produce several bombs.
At the same time, the United States pushes not only diplomatic on Iran, but also by the lack of weapons. About two weeks ago The media brought information that Pentagon He sent at least six strategic B-2 strategic bombers to the Diego Garcia Air Base on the Island in the Indian Ocean.
Military analyst and former US Air Force Officer Cedric Leighton to then for CNN described as several times the message of Iran.
« One of the links could be a warning that Iran stops supporting the Húsís. Another legacy of Trump’s administration could be that he wants a new nuclear agreement with Iran and if Iran does not start negotiating, the result could be the destruction of his nuclear program, » Leighton said.