« Neither Taurus would quite change the course of war » – the world
Russia boosts attacks, but progresses in the front in Ukraine, says the military expert Franc-Štefan Gadi. He thinks that the delivery of German rockets longer reach could not turn things around.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merc said the limit of weapons range will be abolished that Germany delivers Ukraine.
A military expert Franc-Štefan Gadi says for ARD that it is difficult to assess what Merc’s goal is. « Merca subsequently stated that the decision was made a few months ago and therefore does not represent a change in the course, » says Public Service Nasta.
« Approval could relate, among other things, a range of 85 kilometers, but on the other side, it could be relevant in the fighting region. I do not believe that the decision of Taurus is not made, » he said.
The cruise rockets of Taurus, reach about five hundred kilometers, have been Kiev’s wishes for a long time. The passage of the Chancellor Olafa Solca refused to deliver them, for the fear that the projectiles of Ukraine could shoot Russia.
The puck says it doesn’t need to be too expected from Taurus. « It would certainly not completely change the course of the war, but would only provide additional ability and help maintain pressure on Russian armed forces behind the first front lines. »
Where is it worse on the front
When asked where the worst situation in Ukraine is currently, « we must look at several directions at the moment, the Russian armed forces slowly, but they certainly conquer the terrain and try to progress toward the side, and Krador and Slavjansk on the other side. »
In the Summia area, as he says, the Russian military advanced almost 20 kilometers from the city. « On the one hand, the goal is to establish a buffer zone here, which I have already expected last summer. But the Sumi is also an important logistics node. »
« I’ve been there some time and I got the impression that the main goal of Russia is here to move the front line far enough to destroy this hub and multi-perched rocket launchers, » says this military expert.
According to its assessment, if the situation is deteriorating here, it would be possible to imagine that Ukrainians are allowed to use Mars Rockets deeply in Russian territory. But it’s for now, he says, only a hypothesis.
The biggest problem for the Russian army
The public service reminds that these days are a lot about possible summer offensive. When asked if he was expecting, Gadi says, « I wouldn’t use that expression and I would advise not to use such a media narrative. »
Gadi says he notices a constant and slow increase in the intensity of Russian military operations, which means faster and more often attacks a day.
« The image of the new offensive suggests something wrong. Because for Russian armed forces, the scaling of attack remains a huge capacity and the ability to conduct attacks in the majority is the largest limiting factor in the Russian army, » he says.
He believes that the reason for this is that Russian armed forces are constantly brought to the borders of their organizational capacities.
Infantry Chief Problem Ukraine
When asked what Ukraine has to oppose this constant strengthening of attacks, Gadi says that the main problem of Kiev remains a lack of infantry.
« However, the Ukrainian defense system is held well – because the Russians cannot attack in large proportions, and the Ukraine produces a large number of mines and drones. In the case of drones, they would potentially be up to four million to the end of the year, » he says.
According to him, artillery should be added here, where Europe takes over the growing role and can compensate for the departure of Americans. « The Russians are superior, but they have no decisive advantage. Moreover, the importance of artillery fell compared to dron’s importance, » this military expert says.
And here, he says, Ukraine has enough ammunition and abilities to prevent rails in achieving operational breakthrough. « There is a negative trend for Ukraine in general, but not catastrophic, » says Gadi.
If he stays like that, Russians will, according to his opinion, thrive slowly with minimal territorial gains – with considerable costs. In his opinion, the question will be: will the Ukrainian front endure while Russian forces are not exhausted and until serious negotiations on breaking fire starts?
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