Neither little nor Trump are involved in « peace negotiations »

From day to day, there are new details about the Trumo-Putin telephone call from the beginning of the week. From the replica « is not my war » given by Donald Trump, to the invitation he made to Russia for business together and the assertion that Russia’s potential to create prosperity and jobs is « unlimited » as long as there will be peace in Ukraine, in the last days it has been in detail that puts in a dark light.

After the discussion of Vladimir Putin, Trump told European leaders that Russia is not ready to conclude the Ukraine war, writes The Wall Street Journal, citing European officials. « In a conversation that took place on Monday, President Trump told European leaders that President Vladimir Putin is not prepared to end the Ukraine war, because he thinks he can win it, high European officials say, » writes The Wall Street Jornal. « European leaders believe this for a long time, but it was the first time they heard from Trump, say European officials. It is a statement that contravenes the Trump publicly-as he thinks Putin really wants peace, » writes WSJ.

« Although Trump seems to have realized that Putin is not prepared to reach peace, European officials said that this did not cause the US president to do what European leaders and the President of Ukraine want him to do: to struggle against Russia. » The Wall Street Journal also writes that Donald Trump has opposed the proposal of European leaders that Russia-Ukraine negotiations will take place in the Vatican to leave the « unconditional » cease. Trump told them that he never used the term « unconditionally » in discussions with Putin and that he does not want to do so this time. Finally, European allies agreed to give up this formulation.

President Putin continues to be much clearer than the American counterpart. Putin continued to emphasize one thing: « Overall, Russia’s position is clear. The main objective is to eliminate the causes of this crisis; we just have to identify the most effective ways to reach peace. »

Then, Thursday, three days after the Donald Trump’s call, Putin announced that Russian troops are aiming to create a buffer area along the Russian-Ukrainian border to avoid Ukrainian operations such as the invasion of the Kursk region. The creation of the buffer area would involve occupying areas of the Kharkov and Sumî regions, and this only confirms the forecasts made by the adepttives of the harsh realism, such as John J. Mearshemier, who showed that, as the conflict is prolonged, Russia will expand its goals and try to conquer new territories, the main targets being Harkov.

It remains clear that Vladimir Putin insists on eliminating the « deep causes of the crisis ». They are not the « militarization » of Ukraine that Russia wants demilitarized, nor the « nazile » of the Kiev regime, nor the refusal of Ukraine and the West to recognize the annexation of the Donetk, Lugansk, Zaporojie and Herson regions. These are the immediate causes of the conflict, which Putin also said he wants eliminated. The deep causes are related to the absence of a European security agreement that includes Russia as great power. In 2010, at that time Russian President Dmitri Medvedev proposed to Chancellor Angela Merkel and French president Nicolas Sarkozy a project of Pan-European Security agreement, which would have been negotiated over the head of the central and Eastern European states. It was Russia’s « soft » reaction to the opening of Ukraine’s way to NATO and a new colorful revolution, at the NATO summit in Bucharest, in 2008. The harsh warning had come since August 2008, through the war against Mikheil Saakasvili.

The last version of such an agreement was proposed by the Putin regime two months before the invasion in Ukraine, in December 2021, in the form of an ultimatum of Russia. The two agreements of agreement – with the United States and NATO – provided, among other things, the withdrawal of the alliance on the alignments before 1997, that is, the withdrawal of all military installations and troops from the former socialist countries.

« Putin is not interested in negotiating the conclusion of the Ukraine war. He only hopes to be able to use these negotiations to obtain a new Yalta. He wants this so much that he risked the extension of the war in Ukraine to the point where the Ukrainian drones attack Moscow and destroy the energy infrastructure of Russia. Hegemony.

« Putin is absorbed in the hope that negotiations can turn into a new yalta. That would mean a bigger victory than the one against Ukraine. But if Putin had hit Ukraine much more from the beginning, maybe Russia would have been viewed as a great power and obtained the Pan-European security agreement. Instead, Putin created the image of a Russian, against China, ”writes Paul Craig Roberts.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the same thing, one day after the Putch-TRUMP telephone call: « Every passing minute, every dollar spent in this conflict in Europe distracts us and exhausts our resources for a much more serious and potentially cataclysanic confrontation in Indo-Pacific. to a much more serious confrontation from a global point of view.

Therefore, writes Paul Craig Roberts, « neither Putin nor Trump are engaged in » peace negotiations « to put an end to the conflict in Ukraine. Putin’s purpose is to use negotiations to reach an agreement of the great powers, a new yalta. Putin says that the goal is to eliminate the » deep cause « of the conflict, which is the lack of such an agreement. For Trump, the purpose of negotiations is to move their attention from Europe, to withdraw military and financial support and to focus on China, which is regarded as the much more dangerous US enemy. « 

Viewed in this light, the statements of support of Russia that the President of China made in Moscow, on the occasion of Victoria Day, show that Beijing sees in the potential victory of Russia in Ukraine a necessary precursor of Chinese victory in the South China Sea, to break the strain of island chains created by the United States. As the Secretary of State Rubio said, the two conflicts (one open, in Ukraine, and the other in Asia) are related to the previous ones.