Markets believe that the probability of a truce in Ukraine is 70%

The US Investment Bank Goldman Sachs estimated 70% the likelihood of an agreement to terminate the fighting in Ukraine, analyzing the pricing of bonds. This is a sharp increase in market moods to reach a truce compared to before the November election for US President Donald Trump.

« Our modeling suggests that current market prices for a peace agreement have increased from less than 50% before the US election to about 70% at the moment, » the bank said in an analysis of its customers.

However, she adds that this is a little lower than the peak than 76% in February.

Trump, who says he wants to be remembered as a peacemaker, has repeatedly stated that he wants to end the « bloody bath » of a three -year conflict in Ukraine – which his administration presents as a proxy war between the United States and Russia.

President Vladimir Putin said last month that Russia supported the US proposal to end the fire in Ukraine in general, but that the fighting cannot be terminated until a number of Russian conditions have been developed or clarified.

Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelenski said Putin’s conditions for ending fire were unrealistic and accused the Russian leader of wanted to continue the war.

In March, Ukraine accepted the termination of drought, air and water fighting during bilateral negotiations with the United States in Saudi Arabia.

Currently, Russia controls just below one fifth of Ukraine, including Crimea, which Russia annexes in 2014, and most, but not all other four regions that Moscow now claims to be part of Russia – a claim that is not recognized by most countries.