Long -term June forecast: What are the weather ahead?
“According to the latest ECMWF model estimates, the June temperature (standard climate rate: SKN: 15.9 ° C and 68 mm) is projected to be up to 0.5 degrees above and the monthly rainfall is close to perennial standards.
The other (CFSV2) long -term forecasts model gives quite similar results. June temperature, estimated, should be up to 0.5 degrees warmer than the multi -year average and rainfall up to 5-10 %. higher than the norm.
In summary, 2025 The sixth month should be close to the perennial standards.
Looking at the last few years, 2019 June was the hottest in history, 2020-2021. June was much warmer than a multi -year rate. 2018, 2022-2024. June – warmer than average. Well, the last time the cool June was only in 2017. The amount of rainfall this month is quite uneven, with precipitation usually distributed unevenly due to frequent small and local rains. 2018-2019, 2021 and 2023-2024. June was dry in Lithuania, and in 2017, 2020 and 2022. – wet.
It is important to know. These are just experimental forecasts, their reliability is not high enough, so important decisions should not be made. The long -term prognosis presented does not mean that very cold and/or dry days will not occur at all.
Maps: ECMWF model air temperature (top) and rainfall (bottom) abnormal forecasts for the coming weeks, ”said the Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service.
Photo by the Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service
