Lack of shelters part in the explanation for mass escape from Tehran and other big cities

The last year’s events in the region have created unique benefits for Israel during this hit. Almost all air defense along the way – radar, air defense – has been destroyed in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Iran. Thus, Israel avoids the discomfort of violating Jordan and Saudi Arabia’s airspace – countries that cooperate with Israel but who do not want to look like Israel’s partners in the war on any conditions.

The number of people killed during the Iranian missile attacks has shocked Israel, which has become accustomed to Hamas and Hezbollah’s less potent weapons. But without shelter, those affected would have been far more. Since the 1991 Gulf War, no new homes in Israel may be built without shelters.

By Tehran’s fifteen million Residents have only a fraction of shelters. This is part of the explanation for the mass escape of recent days from the capital to the countryside. Traffic chaos has been reported from Tehran when people tried to get out of the city.

An Iranian that DN contacted through a colleague in Cyprus, says:

– People here (in Tehran) understand that everything that is adjacent to an weapons factory, an airfield, a military staff, the guard’s barracks or the homes of the rulers – are risk zones.

All the time, in the Israeli The Radio Persian channel and in the military speaker’s communications in Persian are urged to Iranians to go as far as possible from everything militarily. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahus also urges in his Youtube channel Iran’s people « to rise against the Tyrants »-stick with the official Israel’s position, that the operation only applies to Iran’s nuclear capacity.

This hope, if a regime change, is also the explanation for Israel to make an effort not to harm Iranian civilians. The people’s aversion to the regime is an Israeli asset. Military historian Martin Van Creveld in Jerusalem tells DN:

– These are desire for desires. No one can disrupt a militarized regime in a country of Iran’s size with flight attacks.

The Israeli drones Inside Iran has been used for attacks against rulers and politicians, and pilotless remote controlled aircraft are used to knock out the ramps of the ballistic missiles.

– The Iranians have plenty of missiles, probably several thousands. Their weak point is the ramps, usually mounted on large trucks. As soon as they are used, we see them and destroy them. We believe they lost a third of them, says a person with transparency in the process.

The heavy weapons that fall over Iran have caused great devastation. But, says the Israeli officer and security analyst Yosi Baidatz:

– no matter how much If Iran is destroyed, Iran will be able to build up its nuclear program. We have humiliated the regime, in front of the world and in front of its own. Now it is important to motivate it to negotiate, not push it in an extreme direction, perhaps towards a bomb.

All Iran’s many nuclear facilities have been attacked. A couple seems to have been destroyed, such as the heavy water reactor in the Arak and the Atomic Research Center in Isfahan. The two most important installations, Natanz and Fordow, have been bombed, but nothing is known about the result.

The United States states that it does not participate on Israel’s side in the war, but it helps to shoot down Iranian missiles, sends several types of weapons and contributes above all with a tanker plan from which the Israeli plan replenishes fuel in the air on their way back from Iran.

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