India and Pakistan: Where do the attacks go and where can the conflict grow?
7. May 2025 at 12:16 I Updated 7. May 2025 at 17:51
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India bombard, Pakistan shoots.
India bombers, Pakistan shoots – what’s going on? Author: SME
Delli, BRATISLAVA. A series of armed conflicts burned between India and Pakistan, at the beginning of which there was a terrorist attack on tourists in Phalgam in the Indian state of Jamu and Kashmir.
The historical region of Kashmir has long been the subject of territorial disputes between India and Pakistan, but in the current armed conflict, the Indus River also plays a role and the possibility of using its water in the economy.
The pahaglamic attack has claimed at least 26 victims, and India blames Pakistan to support or at least tolerate cross -border terrorism.
Indian retaliation is, at least so far, air attacks on places it has described as terrorist infrastructure and claims that the attacks are accurate and limited. Pakistan claimed on Tuesday morning that he had shot down at least five Indian aircraft.
The current escalation, whose official Indian name is Sindoor, can push both countries into a wider war, while both India and Pakistan have nuclear arsenals.
Pakistan has already threatened India by retaliation, while the international community has yet called for balance, but the clear conflict mediator has not yet been ordered.
In the article we will answer the questions:
- What is happening between India and Pakistan so far,
- Whether the precipitation can grow into a greater conflict,
- which third countries are trying to settle where the US and where China stand,
- making the internal political dimensions of the conflict in both states,
- which is in the background of the conflict.
What is happening between India and Pakistan so far
The situation is developing fast but India so far According to BBC At night, she attacked nine selected places, claiming that the attacks are not escalating and that they avoid the objects of the regular Pakistani army. The air attacks were followed by artillery fire from both sides.
According to Pakistan, according to Panarabic television al-Jazeera, he claims that he shot down up to five Indian aircraft, among them allegedly three modern fighters Rafale French production. India or independent sources have not yet confirmed this information.
Al-Jazeera also wrote that there are mosques among the affected goals in Pakistan.
In addition, Indian Foreign Minister Vikram Misri said Delhi had intelligence information about another imminent attack and Indian raids on the Pakistani part of Kashmir thus also described as a preventive attack.
Pakistan described the attacks as unprocessed, summoned Indian chargé d’Ffaires, and Delhi warned that such attacks contribute to regional instability.
Can precipitation grow into a greater conflict?
The emergence of a broader conflict is always possible, even in a situation where no one wants it. However, India has so far carried out the attacks to prevent escalation. Analysis of Atlantic Council He emphasizes that India has a reputation for a predictable country in these situations, and its diplomats have informed their partners for the past two weeks that Delli will take a retaliation attack.
The text also mentions a press statement of the Indian Ministry of Defense shortly after the attacks, which also assures that India has no escalation intentions.
« India has focused its actions on neutralizing immediate threats and minimizing the risk of escalation. By publicly framed the attacks as anti -terrorist and avoided the Pakistani goals, Delhi is trying to limit the pressure on Pakistan retaliatory operations, » wrote the Atlantic Council Counterist Expert Alexis Plitsas.
« Despite the rising tension, including diplomatic and economic steps, escalation is unlikely, » he said in his contribution.
Otherwise he sees the situation Indrajit RoyProfessor of international relations at the University of York, according to which the conflict can still escalate. « At least it has a higher chance of escalating than the previous chapters of the conflict. Both sides have exceeded certain red lines. The attack on tourists in Kashmir is something that has not happened yet. Militants and terrorism have been there for years, but tourists were usually not the target of attacks, » says Roy.
« From the perspective of Pakistan, India has also attacked in the past, but has always challenged only military goals. Now she first attacked terrorist camps and Pakistan claims that civilians died, » he said in an interview with the SME daily.
He is convinced that if the Pakistani government does not convince the army, or as the US or China, the Pakistani government will not convince the conflict and can escape.
« No state can keep such a thing. India could not leave an attack on tourists without retaliation, similarly Pakistan could not afford not to respond, » he thinks.
However, the smaller states in the South Asia region would take a possible escalation, writes in the same text by Atlantic Council Rudabeh Shahid. Among the « smaller » states in this context, for example Bangladesh with a population of 171 million people.
« Bangladesh is the most vulnerable. The recent change of the regime there was the end of the proindic cabinet of Prime Minister Wadjid and the onset of a temporary government, which must be in a very complicated environment. Anti -anind sentiments are on the rise, especially for the general impression of Indian intervention in internal affairs. Mandate, but is under the pressure of several parts of society to be interested in more assertive, nationalist and perhaps even anti -anind attitude, « writes Shahid.
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