India and Pakistan: a wick burning, nuclear forces on the edge of the Great Conflict – BBC News in Serbian
Two weeks after the deadly attack extremists in Kashmir under Indian administration, India and Pakistan launched an armed conflict in which there were killed and wounded.
The escalation of the conflict of two nuclear forces reached a new level: Indian and Pakistani military are 10. May exchanged the shocks, accusing each other.
The Pakistan government is early in the morning, 10. May, published the initiation of a large military operation « Solid wall » against India, calling it « Answer answer ».
From Islamabad, they say that it is retaliation because India fired rockets on three air bases, including one near the capital Pakistan.
From the beginning of the conflict, about 50 people were killed.
How did the conflict start?
India is 7. Maja shot several locations in Pakistan and Kashmir under Pakistan administration, and Islamabad claims that she had dropped Indian aircraft as an « response ».
The Indian Ministry of Defense justifies the attacks called « Sindor Operation » as a « obligation » to be sentenced to attack from 22. April, in which 25 Indians and one Nepalese citizen killed.
But Pakistan, who denied any involvement in the last monthly attack, described Indian shocks as « nothing caused », and Prime Minister Šehbaz Šarif said that « the disgusting act of aggression will not go unpunished. »
India claims that there are « evidence indicating clear involvement of terrorists based in Pakistan » in the attack in Pahalgam, while Pakistan denies any connection.
Pakistani intelligence service said earlier that expects an attack from India.
Pakistani authorities say more than 30 people have been killed in Indian attacks so far, and 57 wounded.
The Indian army previously announced that 14 civilians and one soldier were killed, and 43 wounded in Pakistani shelling of the area in Kashmir, which manages their country.
Delhi and Islamabad exchange charges and threats
After the first wave of the Indian attack and Pakistan response, neighboring countries continued to accuse themselves, but also threaten.
America and the United Nations called on Pakistan and India to avoid any further escalation.
But Pakistan claims that he is now a victim and that was the target of another « serious provocation ».
At the press conference in the capital of Islamabad, the Pakistan army spokesman said that India committed the « second obvious military act of aggression » to that country.
The spokesman said that Pakistan from 7. Maja in the evening knocked 12 drones sent by India.
At the same time, they said from Delhi that they neutralized Pakistan attempts in the night between 7. and 8. May to « miss many military targets » in northern and western India.
Indian Foreign Minister with Jaiskar said India does not have an « intention to escalate the situation » with Pakistan, but that every military attack on it « encountered a very strong response ».
What did the Indian army barrier?
The Indian government was 7. May announced in the early morning, nine different locations in Kashmir and Pakistan under the Administration of Pakistan.
It is said that these locations are « terrorist infrastructure », ie places where attacks are « planned and directed ».
The statement emphasizes that the rockets did not hit any Pakistani military facilities, claiming that the attack was « aimed, measured and non-enticing nature ».
According to Pakistan, three different areas are affected: Muzafarabad and Kašmir Kašmir under Pakistano Administration and Bahavalpur in Pakistan Panjab Province.
Pakistani Minister of Defense Khawaja Asif said for the geotv that civilian areas were affected, accusing India to lie that « targeted terrorist camps ».
Watch the video: The consequences of the Indian attack on Kashmir under Pakistan administration
Why did India launch an attack?
Indian attacks followed a multi-week increase in neighboring nuclear with nuclear weapons due to shooting in the picturesque resort Pahalgam.
In the attack of the extremist group 22. April, 26 people were killed, and the survivors said that the attackers singled out Hindu.
It was the most difficult attack on civilians in the region in the last two decades and caused a wide wrath in India.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi said that the earth would hunt the suspects « until the end of the world » and that those who planned and implemented it « cannot imagine how to be punished. »
However, India did not appoint a single group that he suspected to attack in Pahalgam and remains unclear who did it.
However, the Indian police stated that the two attackers were Pakistani citizens, and Delhi accuses Pakistan to support extremists.
Islamabad denies it and claims that it has nothing to do with deadly attack 22. April.
In the past two weeks, both parties have taken measures against others, among other things, expelling diplomats, visa suspension and closing border crossings.
But many expected to escalate into some kind of cross-border strike, as it was after attacks in Pulvam when 40 members of the Indian paramilitary group 2019 were killed.
Why is Cashmere focus of spores of India and Pakistan?
India and Pakistan are entirely entitled to cashmere, but both countries only partially manage that region after the division of independence from Britain in 1947.
India and Pakistan led two wars due to Kashmir.
However, recently, the attacks of militants led two countries to the edge of a new great conflict.
In Kashmir under the Indian Administration since 1989. the armed rebellion against Indian rule begins, and militants target security forces and civilians.
This was the first great attack on civilians since India withdrew Article 370, which gave Kashmir to the semi-automatic status in 2019. years.
After that decision, protests had erupted in the region, but at the same time has fallen extremism and there was a huge increase in the number of tourists visiting Kašmir.
After the 19 Indian soldiers were killed in Uri, India, 2016. launched « surgical precision attacks » through the so-called control line – De facto boundaries between India and Pakistan – shooting extremists.
In 2019, a bomb attack in Pulvami, in which 40 members of the Indian paramilitary unit, encouraged air attacks deep into Balakot – the first such action in Pakistan since 1971. – which caused return attacks and air battle.
The world is concerned about the escalation of conflicts and various countries and diplomats are trying to prevent a great war, especially as are both nuclear power states.
The United Nations Boss Antonio Gutheresh called for « maximum restraint », while US President Donald Tramp said that he hoped to end « very quickly ».
Could this grow into a wider conflict?
Most experts agree that retaliation Pakistan is inevitable.
« Pakistan’s response will surely follow.
« The challenge would be to manage the following level of escalation. There will be a crisis diplomacy to be important, » said Adjaj Bisari, former Indian High Commissioner in Pakistan.
« Pakistan will get tips to show restraint, but will have a key role to have a diplomacy after Pakistan’s answer to ensure even more conflicts between both countries. »
Pakistani experts like Azaja Hussein, political and military analyst from Lahor, say that Indian surgical precision strikes are directed to places like Muridke and Bahawalpur were « mostly expected in view of the predominant tensions ».
Hussein believes retaliation is likely.
« Given the media rhetoric of the Pakistan army and the expressed determination to settle accounts, retaliation measures, in the form of surgical precision strikes across the border, are probably in the coming days, » he said for the BBC.
Is Pakistani revenge inevitable?
Experts in Pakistan notice that, despite the lack of war hysteria, the situation could change quickly.
« We have a deeply disappointed political company, with the most popular country leader behind bars. The closure of Imrana Kana has caused a strong anti-military reaction to the public, » says Faruk, analyst of Islamabad and former magazine correspondent Jane’s Defense Weekly.
« Today, Pakistani public is far less ready to support the military compared to 2016. or 2019. Year – the usual wave of war hysteria is noticeably absent.
« But if public opinion changes to central Punjab where the antiindry sentiment is stronger, civilian pressure on the army could be increased.
« And the army will regain popularity because of this conflict. »
Dr. Eyzz Hussein thinks similar.
« I believe that the current conflict with India is an opportunity for Pakistani military to regain public support, especially in an urban middle class, which recently criticized her for mixing her in politics. »
Can India and Pakistan stop at the edge of collapse?
India walked again on the thin line between escalation and restraint.
Immediately after the attack in Pahalgam, India retaliated by closing the main border crossing, suspending the water division agreement, expulsing diplomats and stopping most visas for Pakistani citizens.
The army on both sides exchanged fire by shooting weapons, and India banned all Pakistani planes to enter her airspace, responding to the earlier move Pakistan.
In response, Pakistan suspended the Peace Agreement from 1972. and took his own retaliation measures.
Such actions was conducted by India after attack in PuvaMi 2019. when it revoked the status of the most favored Nation Pakistan, introduced high customs and suspended key trade and traffic connections.
The crisis escalated when India launched air attacks on Balakot, followed by a reversing Pakistan air attacks and capture Indian Pilot Abhinandan Vartaman, which is an additional amplifier of tension.
However, diplomatic channels eventually occurred due to descalation, and Pakistan acquitted the pilots in good will.
« India was ready to provide another chance of old-fashioned diplomacy, given that she has achieved a strategic and military target, and Pakistan created a feeling of victory at the domestic audience, » said Adjaj Bisari last week.
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