mai 11, 2025
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If Bulgarian Simion is on a white horse

If Bulgarian Simion is on a white horse


… and won the presidential election next year, whether the Bulgarian services will gather evidence, as the Romanian voted in December 2024 did. Russian intervention In the election process? A provocative question – but only at first glance, writes Emilia Milcheva In a text for « that is, »which « diary » publishes.

What do the country’s special services do, part of the Eastern NATO flank, although not as significant as Romania, and are able to counteract cyber -terrorism, misinformation, economic pressure, destabilizing campaigns?

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In Bulgaria, the State Agency for National Security (SANS) is mainly oriented towards inter -intelligence activities, with mainly information functions and limited in its powers. However, Romania not only has developed much stronger and complex secret services, but has also created legislation that expands their powers in key spheres, such as cybersecurity and counteraction to misinformation. This discrepancy in the approaches reflects the deep differences in the strategies of the two EU Member States and the Alliance in terms of national security.

Parred in spheres of influence and vulnerable to external pressure, Bulgarian intelligence services are part of political instruments and seems impossible to function as an independent shield against hybrid threats.
But how could they be, since there is no modern national security strategy that reflects new risks and threats? The updated strategy of 2018whose « time horizon is until 2025 », continues to be the main strategic document in the field of national security of Bulgaria.

It is full of general formulations and wishes, corruption is marked as a problem but has not been considered as a fundamental threat to national security as it is, since it erodes the institutions. The national security system is foggy structured. Although it is mentioned cyber -threshing, hybrid attacks and misinformation, they are examined superficially, without an adequate assessment of their weight. The Russian influence or Chinese interests in critically important sectors have not been analyzed, nor has it been updated after the war of Russia in Ukraine began, when Bulgaria was identified as a « enemy state » by the Putin regime.

SANS has sown dozens of Russian spies in Bulgaria in 2024.

The new strategy does not speak.

All these deficits are no surprise.

The services were depoliticized after democratic changes, de facto remained in the shade of political dependence – controlled and used as instruments for internal party balance, for eliminating opponents and for concealing systemic corruption.

Their directors are persons agreed by political leaders and do not surprise the definitions that they are of the President/GERB/Peevski/Alexey Petrov (already deceased). The arrays of information are used by the appointments, and taxpayers withstand these guards of narrow and private interests, but not of public security.

The SANS in Bulgaria is usually discussed when another annual report is released or the superiors are replaced. Here is ahead of one now replacement – Plamen Tonchev, appointed by the office of the office of president Rumen Radev in 2021, was proposed by GERB-SDS as chairman of the Dossier Committee. In order to do this, he must resign and so his term, which expires in 2028, will be terminated early and completed by one of his deputies. Speculation is that it is more likely to be Denho Denevapproximately according to the Borisov-Peevski tandem PP-DB. The other deputy is Georgi Georgiev, an employee of SANS, whom the office of Dimitar Glavchev appointed to Petar Petrov’s place – The only appointment that the PP-DB managed to reach on the peaks of the special services, but briefly.

GERB offers SANS chief Plamen Tonchev as chairman of the Dossier Committee

GERB offers SANS chief Plamen Tonchev as chairman of the Dossier Committee

Tonchev made a high jump in his career development – from a longtime head of the territorial unit of SANS in Vratsa, he headed the service four years ago. In the same 2021, when he managed the office of Stefan Yanev, until then adviser to the Head of State, Rumen Radev made a hat trick – he managed to impose his elects for his. bosses of SANS, State Intelligence Agency and Military Intelligence Service. Instead of to leave These changes to a regular government, the president imposed them and they continue to rule.
But here’s Tonchev, who has changed the GERB frame in this position Dimitar Georgiev will be withdrawn. Thus, others were withdrawn before it due to a change in political situation. However, there is also a change that does not take an eye on. No one else was offered such a good synekura – neither Georgiev nor Petko Sertov, though he was briefly Consul General in Thessaloniki, where Then he went And another former chairman of SANS – Vladimir Pisanchev. After leaving the service, another former chief of counterintelligence – Tsvetlin Yovchev, undertook with private business And he teaches.
Keeping Tonchev with a high salary in a prestigious position, albeit in a deaf line, shows that a political deal is most likely. Changing one senior chief with another will not affect the « national security » – it will only affect the flow of information that will change its direction as well as the list of orders.

In Romania Serviciul Român de Informații (SRI) holds politicians

While in Bulgaria the politicians are afraid not to miss control over the special services and keep them on a short occasion, on the other side of the Danube is the opposite – there the services do not release the political elite from the eyes, despite the criticism that their control is weak. Their powers are expanding with new laws despite civic discontent. The most significant is accepted In 2023 Cybersecurity Actpromulgated on March 14 of the same year, after the Constitutional Court gave him the green light, despite serious criticism from human rights organizations and the Ombudsman, that he was unclear that he imposed heavy obligations of the private sector and expanded the powers of the powers of Sri without sufficient guarantees for civil rights.

For example, all organizations providing « publicly significant » or « available online » services are obliged to report incidents within 48 hours. The Office has access to sensitive IT systems without judicial sanction. In case of non -compliance with the legal provisions by companies, they threaten them to fines up to 1% of the annual turnover.

Romanian voters are still looking for Tiktok answers to whom to vote

Romanian voters are still looking for Tiktok answers to whom to vote

Within the framework of hybrid threat counteracting operations Sri Other services may also want metadata and technical data from communication service providers in real time. And they do not always need a court order when it comes to national security.

Unlike Bulgarian services, Romanian are significantly better integrated into NATO operations.
The comparison of the financing between the Bulgarian service and its Romanian analogue shows striking differences. The SANS budget for 2025 is about BGN 279 million (EUR 143 million) while budget to the Romanian Sri exceeds EUR 1 billion (5.164 billion lei), although reduced EUR 24.3 million. Staff costs are 54.3% of it, and in Bulgarian counterintelligence salaries increased by 61% for this year, « eat » 93.71%S
In December 2024. Romanian security services (including Sri) revealed that the far -right and pro -Russian candidate for President Kalin Georgezcu was supported by a coordinated social media campaign through 25,000 accounts, probably organized by a foreign state actor of Russian originS European analysts have established striking similarities with other Russian attempts to influence, such as the elections in Moldova.

Declaring that he has invested zero funds in the campaign, and without television debate, the nationalist is advertised through a large -scale campaign in Tiktokand in posts he offers Romania and Russia to divide Ukraine.

Simion's first victory is worth billions of euros by Romanian Central Bank so far

Simion’s first victory is worth billions of euros by Romanian Central Bank so far

In the end, the Romanian Constitutional Court canceled the results of the first round of election, which caused dissatisfaction among the thousands of Romanians who voted for the nationalist. The group later En Elveswhich fights the hybrid attacks, found links between the George campaign and over 50 Bulgarian companies registered in Plovdiv and controlled by a person of Georgian origin. They are related to the spread of pro -Russian propaganda – both in Romania and in Bulgaria. The revelations prompted the MP from the PP-DB Ivaylo Mirchev, later elected as co-chair of « Yes, Bulgaria », to insist on to Euractiv for a parliamentary committee to investigate Russian influence in Bulgaria at all levels. It is not the first time Mirchev made such statements. In 2022 he It was summoned In the State Security Service to explain its statements of Russian influence in the Bulgarian special services:

« In the information I have been taken, I have told the same thing that I have argued in recent months – there are serious indications that some of the Bulgarian services, instead of working for national interest, have been working to increase Russian influence in the country. Over the years, various services have been said, usually when leaving. »

After Georgesko, however, a new ultra -nationalist, George Simion, won the first round of the presidential vote in Romania and will fight for a run on May 18 with the pro -Western candidate Nikushor Dan, who lags behind him by as much as 20%.

Both Kalin George and Simion use the same rhetoric for the free Romania, placed under the dictates of Brussels, and Simion made territorial claims to Ukraine, Moldova and even the Bulgarian South Dobrudzha. Politicians like them are also enjoying support in Washington – the criticism of Vice President Jay Vance in the European democracy, sent at the Munich Security Conference, is remembered. One of them is because of the canceled elections in Romania because of « delicate suspicion The Secret Services « :

« You can believe that it is wrong to buy Russia in social media to influence your election. We certainly believe it. You can even condemn it on the world stage. But if your democracy can be destroyed by several hundred thousand dollars from a foreign country, then it was not very strong at first. »

The anti -European rhetoric of the Romanian national populists is known by Bulgarian political leaders such as Kostadin Kostadinov (« Revival »), Radostin Vasilev (Sword) and Ivelin Mihailov (« Great »). It will not be a surprise if for the presidential election they unite and their voters behind a candidate, as they do now, ally for votes of distrust and other votes in parliament.

Each of them uses different degrees of propaganda escalation – Kostadinov is extreme, while Vasilev and Mihailov cover the wings of more moderate Eurosceptics.

For more than a year he has divided Bulgaria from the presidential election in the fall of 2026, an attempt can not be ruled out for a Romanian scenario. But will the SANS understand and if he understands, counteract or inform?

The opposition saw in the nomination of Tonchev about the Dossier Committee Paining of SANS

The opposition saw in the nomination of Tonchev about the Dossier Committee Paining of SANS



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