Face the future chancellor with great difficulty
The prospective Conservative Chancellor launched coalition talks with the Social Democrats by giving them exactly what the center -left parties had always wanted: a milestone agreement that would allow hundreds of billions of new borrowing to strengthen the German army and infrastructure, including green energy. However, a German According to the press, Friedrich Merz could be accounted for.
Tension, serious criticism
As is knownat the end of February, the CDU/CSU won the German elections, while the far -right AFD achieved historic results as he finished second. Olaf Scholz’s current German Chancellor Party, the SPD, has fallen significantly and finished only in third place.
The expected mandate distribution looks like the 630 -person Bundestag:
- CDU/CSU (Conservatives): 210 Representatives
- AFD (extreme right): 143 representatives
- SPD (center -left): 117 representatives
- Greens (center -left): 96 representatives
- Die Linke (Left): 63 Representatives
- Danish Minority Party (SSW): 1 representative
Although the Germans could not unexpectedly be unexpected to make the necessary funds from external loans due to the empty state treasury Merz Because of his reform plans, his popularity began to decline sharply. More people have left the Conservative Party, while coalition negotiations are becoming more tense, as the Social Democratic SPD does not support the migration tightening it promised.
This could be another loss of prestige for the Chancellor candidate, especially since the new government does not appear to be formed until Easter. According to German newspapers, the Social Democrats of Olaf Scholz are ragged and can make the Chancellor’s appointment more difficult.
In the midst of the increasing war threat of European Union His leading state loses its decisive role day by day. The longer the inauguration of the new government is, the slower the development of its own and the common European defense system can start. However, the necessary financial funds are already available. However, despite parliamentary approval, more and more attacks are being attacked within the country.
One of the loudest critics, The Young Entrepreneurs organization, which called Merz’s financial ideas « young people’s poison cocktail », saying that they are the indebtedness of future generations.
THE Berliner Zeitung In a statement, they warned that the number of young people planning to emigrate could be drastically increasing due to new public debt. Those who leave the country not only will not repay the accumulated loans, but also endanger the sustainability of the pension system.
For the prospective head of government, other social groups can be a major challenge, as a deficit of EUR 30-40 billion remains in the federal budget.
Friedrich Merz plans to replace this with austerity in the social sector – for example, reducing citizenship, pensions and parental allowances for unemployed, writes Ruhr24.
Decrease in popularity
However, recent research has already begun to think about coalition parties. The majority of voters now believe that the Chancellor has misled them during the campaign because they did not previously supported the increase in debt recruits.
THE ZDF According to its current political barometer, 73 percent of voters, including 44 percent of CDU/CSU supporters, feel that they have been led by the financial turnaround, while only 25 percent find the accusations unjustified.
Against this background, the number of those who would be a good chancellor decreased by 7 percent from the beginning of March.
Meanwhile, the Social Democrat is still among the German population Boris Pistorius the most popular who has called for a determined action With Putin and as a defense minister, he also received great recognition.
This, in turn, puts the SPD in a beneficial position, which further erodes Merz’s popularity in the final stages of government formation by obstructing asylum reform.
The debates between mainstream parties have become particular AFD It increasingly reduces its lag behind the CDU/CSU. According to a weekly survey by an InSA poll, Alice Weidel’s party would be at 23 percent if elections were to be held now, while Christian Democrats ‘support fell to 27 percent and the Social Democrats’ polling camp decreased by one percentage point. Handelsblatt.
It also turned out that five percent of all voters would already vote for another partyas in the February federal elections, which suggests that if coalition parties are unable to rise in tensions, domestic chaos can also occur.
Promises, cumbersome negotiations
There is increasing pressure from within his own conservative alliance to make traditional right -wing political concessions, especially in reducing migration and welfare benefits.
However, for Merz, the problem is that with the fiscal turn, he has already given the SPD what they wanted most, which means that he has resigned during the coalition negotiations. Politico.
« This is a clear defeat for the Conservatives, right at the beginning of (coalition) negotiations, » he said Johannes WinkelHead of the Conservative Association’s youth organization in a radio interview after Merz and SPD they agreed on the borrowing agreement. « The question is, of course, what is the consideration for this great financial political concession. »
Merz’s new vulnerability to attacks from the right side is particularly problematic for a chancellor who has vowed to lead his Christian Democratic Union (CDU) to the right, providing a correction compared to his conservative predecessor, Angela Merkel centry.
THE far -right AfD, which becomes Germany’s largest opposition party when convening the new Bundestag, is already trying to take advantage of the situation and set Merz as a secret leftist.
« What do you really represent, Mr Merz? » Asked one of AFD leaders, Tino Chruupalla last week in Parliament. « By now, the SPD MRNA has been put into you. »
According to Politico, Merz is under high pressure to fulfill his campaign promises, especially in reducing migration and social spending.
The leader promised to introduce a strict border control on the first day and reject all illegal entrants, including asylum seekers.
The SPD According to this, this would violate EU law, anger neighboring countries, and undermine European solidarity at a time when Germany needs the block to confront US President Donald Trump on duty. Many people in the SPD also oppose the proposal of second citizenship to be deprived of German citizenship if they have extreme or anti-Semitic views, arguing that politics is unjustly aimed at dual citizens.
And these disagreements threaten to delay the formation of the German coalition government in the midst of already complex negotiations. After initially suggested that negotiations until Easter They are closed, Merz is less and less sure in this schedule. « Thoroughness precedes speed, » he said last week.
« We will have to carry significant reforms, » said the chosen chancellor for a in a television interview. « And this will be a real test of cooperation between Conservatives and SPD. » The Chancellor added another cautious comment: « Really difficult negotiations are ahead of us. »
