Donald Trump, Sheikh
« In the case of Iran, I never thought I had permanent enemies. I am different from what most believe about me. I do not believe in enemies. Sometimes you need enemies, because they motivate you. I want to make an agreement with Iran. I can do it. I would like to make a safer world. And continued to attack its neighbors, then we will not have to choose and put on maximum pressure and we will resort to the necessary actions to prevent the regime from having nuclear weapon.
Immediately, Iran made a concession considered huge by the international press. According to the NBC, « Iran is ready to sign a nuclear agreement, with certain conditions, in exchange for raising economic sanctions, says the counselor for nuclear problems of Ayatollah Ali Khamena. »
« He says that Iran will commit to never produce nuclear weapons, to give up the uranium enriched at the military level, to enrich the uranium only for civil use and to allow international inspectors to supervise the process, in exchange for the immediate lifting of all the sanctions imposed on Iran. said yes. If the Americans respect what they said, we will definitely have better relationships. It can lead to a better situation in the near future. ”
« Something will happen, in one way or another. We will either do it friendly, or very unfriendly. And it will not be pleasant, » said Trump, during the flight from Saudi Arabia to Qatar. The president had announced, the day before, the total lifting of the sanctions imposed on Syria, the condition being that the new regime of the president Al-Sharaa (sought by the FBI and with a rich jihadist) will keep in control of internal terrorism and not export terrorism and jihadism. It is the next Iran on the list of eliminating American sanctions, this time provided the nuclear program. Such a decision does not seem to be difficult, as long as Ayatollah Khamena himself has given a fatwa showing that the nuclear bomb is « non-Islamic » and that Iran will not seek to hold such a weapon. However, on the other hand, it is hard to believe that the leaders from Tehran forgot what happened to Colonel Muamar Gaddafi: he gave up the program of mass destruction weapons, and then was removed from power with Western support and assassinated by his.
Trump was very direct and with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. « Mohammed, can you sleep at night? How do you sleep? Critics doubt you can, as you did, » Trump said, probably alluding to the way Bin Salman repressed the dissents in the country, especially by assassinating journalist Jamal Khashoggi in the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul, during Trump’s first term. « However, in the last eight years, Saudi Arabia has shown that these critics have been completely deceived. A modern Middle East was born, created by the people here, who live here and who develop their sovereign countries, with unique visions and their own destiny. »
« My desire is for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham chords. It will be a special day. And it would honor me, and those who fought for the Middle East. I think it will be something special, but you will do this when you think the time arrived, » Trump told the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia, talking about Riyadh.
Donald Trump seems to be tired of moralist wolves who have led the American foreign policy in recent decades, a successful policy in the Middle East. It started with the neoconservatives who tried to explain that the region will turn radically and embrace the western democracy, even western feminism, if the regimes in Iraq and then Iran are changed. However, these neoconservatives did not want to see the elephant in the room – the autocracy and theocracy in Saudi Arabia. Then followed the right -wing neoconservatives who claimed that Islam is by definition a religion of violence. And the left, for whom the danger to the civilization did not come from the east Muslim, but from the Christian west, followed, whose fiber must be modified by social engineers.
Donald Trump reports that he does not want to continue these policies and that he does not like headaches in international politics. He lost his patience with the government of Prime Minister Netanyahu, he did not continue to bomb the Hutites in Yemen, he said only to defeat (although nothing indicates) and signed an agreement with them, opened the dialogue with Iran and is not concerned about the details of human rights in the monarchs. « Wonders in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi were not created by » neoconservatives « or » liberal NGOs, nor through « nation building » who spent trillion dollars to develop Kabul and Bagdad, « Trump said. » Those « Nation Builders » have destroyed more nations than they did, Not at all, ”says Trump.
Trump likes the transactional style of golf emir. He himself can be likened to these leaders – he is just as seduced by real estate and oil power. He will return to America with investment agreements of about one thousand billions of dollars only with soft Arabia (especially armament) and a mouthpiece in Qtar for Boeing – Airplags and Weapons Agreements of about $ 200 billion. And the last stage of the visit, in the United Arab Emirates, will bring hundreds of billion dollars. The US will be committed to building the infrastructure of the golf monarchies and providing military protection, but provided that these countries will no longer create and finance terrorism and commit to recognize the state of Israel, even when they think it is the time « , as the concession for Prince Bin Salman called.
There are skeptical voices in terms of huge amounts to be reversed in the United States. The Telegraph writes that the current price of the oil barrel – just over $ 60 – is at the limit of austerity for Saudi Arabia. At $ 50 barrel, the Saudi economic model would not work. Mia of billions of dollars that Trump wants from Prince Bin Salman means exactly the GDP of Saudi Arabia (similar to that of the Netherlands and slightly higher than that of Poland), while the income per inhabitant in this country is at Portugal level. And contracts of $ 200 billion signed by Qatar means the equivalent of the Emirate GDP. The IMF estimates that Saudi Arabia would need a price of $ 96 on the oil barrel in order to be able to finance the generous social system without problems that take care of Saudi citizens throughout their lives.
Beyond that, the speeches and decisions announced by Trump in the Middle East suggest how the American leader sees the relationship with Putin’s Russia. The « Sheikh » Trump would do the same business with Russia and publicly expressed this wish. Trump preferred to do business, not a war, and with Iranian theocracy. Will Moscow, now on the offensive in Ukraine, now the same step towards negotiations announced by Iran? Donald Trump does not like complications in international politics-from the position of the Netanyahu government, to that of France, Germany and the United Kingdom in the War in Ukraine, in order not to talk about the position of the smaller states in Eastern Europe-but these complications can prove huge, especially if they will be supported by the American, the American transfer of influence in Europe.
« In order to make peace in the Middle East, Trump will need all his talent in entrepreneurship and political campaigns, but also all the luck he had in front of an assassin’s weapon. He had a promising start in the first term, and now he wants to resume where he stopped, » writes spectator.
