Does not always follow a fall in the depopulation
- The decline in the population in Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén and Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg counties did not significantly influence housing prices.
- A positive internal migration balance in Pest County, 5800 more, moved than they left.
- In Csongrád-Csanád County, home prices rose 105 percent thanks to automotive investments.
Only a city (16 and 20,000) people moved last year Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén and Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg from counties to other parts of the country. The OTP real estate point Its experts have examined what has been characterized by the country’s migration over the past five years, between 2020 and 2024, and how the movement of the population has affected home prices.
THE According to the preliminary data of the CSO last year The population of Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén and Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg counties decreased by more than 2,500 people As a difference in the outstanding and moves, the The third largest loss of population affected Hajdú-Bihar county, with about 1250 people. The greatest positive internal migration balance was high in Pest County, 5800 more people moved than they went elsewhere within the country. The second Győr-Moson-Sopron County with a positive Saturo of 1500 people, While the third header 1150 people.
From here most of them moved
In the past five years Budapest population decreased to the highest levela total of about 26,000 people due to migration. In 2021 nearly 44,000 people left the capital, but only ten thousand fewer moved in. The reason is probably the coronavirus epidemicwhich is much because of Home Office became more accepted. This He could encourage the people of Budapest to move to the countryside (primarily the agglomeration). This record of Pest County of 2021 is also evident in a high, 16,000 migration difference.
Next to Budapest Borsod and Szabolcs were significant emigrationthe two counties of Eastern Hungary Its population decreased by about 14,000 in five years on wandering. Contrast Pest County is expanding with nearly 52,000 Szals, while the inhabitants of Győr-Moson-Sopron were nearly 9000 and Fejéré expanded with about 6,500 people through internal wandering.
This is affecting home prices
Based on the per square meter price of NAV in five years to the greatest extent, By 105 percent Housing prices rose in Csongrád-Csanád Countywhile with a 0.32 percent migration loss, it was in the middle. The rise of home prices partly in recent years is due to large automotive investmentswhich generate continuous demand for real estate. The situation is similar In Hajdú-Bihar also where between 2020 and 2024 85 percentthe third most House prices have risen Also as a result of significant investments, While the migration loss was 1.3 percent, the fourth was the fourth.
Helping the price rise (BydTo BMW) Investments will be completed soon and can have an impact on internal migration, as job opportunities may result in immigration to the given counties. This has been observed in the last five years, for example, in Bács-Kiskun County, where the Mercedes After opening the factory, almost as many migrated as they were, while the neighboring regions were negative almost everywhere.
The second largest in five years, 88 percent home price increase in Baranya county I went on. There is no similar big investment yet, but from time to time flutter About that to Southern Transdanubia A larger car factory or other manufacturing company can arrive.
Here they have grown the least prices
THE lowest price rise During the period under review In Tolna County There were 46 percent rising average prices, while the second was the smallest, 51 percent In Budapest was registered.
– In the countryside, the demand for real estate markets has increased in areas affected by larger investments, while prices increased, while in Budapest the higher price level and the 2-3 years of moving to Covid were lower, he said. David Valkó, senior analyst at OTP Real Estate Point. Among the counties that profit from internal wandering In Pest County 74, Győr-Moson-Sopron 68, while In Fejér, the price increase was 63 percent in five years. Both Szabolcs and Borsod, who had the two largest migration losses, were 69 percent in moderation.
That is the point
It does not necessarily have a strong and immediate impact on internal migration on home prices, as the latter are influenced by a number of other factors. Due Since the construction of factories is already in demand while Mandatory is often followed only by several years of delay and production of production. In addition, it should not be ignored, What are the starting prices we can talksince in Budapest, for example, the average price per square meter was already 671 thousand HUF, while in other counties, except for Hajdú-Bihar, Somogy, Pest and Győr-Moson-Sopron, it does not reach this level in other counties, not to mention the current average in Budapest. For example, even in 2024, the cheapest in Nógrád county, even in 2024, exchanged an average price of barely 200 thousand HUF. In other words, the percentage increase in home prices in itself is not certainly reflecting internal migration processes due to the different base.
