Divorce with sparks in the oval office
After the apple quarrel in the Oval Office, the Europeans chose. Zelenski is their friend, it is their protective, it is their bet. They congratulated him, encouraged him, assured him that they would be pure on his side. As a consequence, it can be said that Europeans have turned Trump's back. They found the time to take revenge on the humility JD Vance has produced through the famous speech from Munich.
Then, the US Vice -President attacked the Europeans in what they considered to be unbeatable – namely democratic values. « The threat that worries me most about Europe is the withdrawal from some of its most fundamental values, » said JD Vance in front of the political elite of Europe, marked by what their ears heard … It was a tough blow in Plex, which the autocrats from Brussels felt. They passed them, but they didn't forget. And now it has been turning them to jubile. As they would say at the lawn, they were glad that Zelenski « pulled it to the Yankei. »
Only impoliteness versus boldness?
The world has witnessed live on the episode spent « even in the precious Oval Office », as Donald Trump expressed. An absolute world premiere for modern media. Two leaders who met to reconcile were separated in the view of the world.
As a divorce, the opinions are divided. Some accuse the coarse impoliteness of the hosts. Others emphasize the unparalleled boldness of the guest. They can be arguments on both sides.
However, there is something unnatural in what happened. Zelenski had come to the White House to sign an economic agreement on rare land. The secretary of the American treasury had intensely negotiated the text with the Ukrainian side, accepting enough concessions. The Kiev Parliament had approved the text of the agreement and the president's mandate to sign it.
Two days before he left for the US, the Americans informed Zenski not to come to Washington. Finding out that some changes had occurred compared to the agreed text, the white house officials demanded that the agreement be signed for the time being. But Zelenski wanted to sign the document necessarily in the United States. And then he asked for Macron's help, his political sponsor, who called Trump, asking him to meet the Ukrainian leader. Finally, Trump agreed.
After so many insistence and having a mandate received from the Parliament it was expected that the signature of the agreement would be a simple formality for President Zelenski. The ore agreement was considered by the United States as a compensation for military and financial assistance to Kiev over the last three years.
Note Bene: Mykhailo Podolyak, Zelenski's main political counselor had declared a month ago that the proposal of such an AA agreement belonged to Ukraine.
Zelenski came with new agenda
Once in the Oval Bureau and answering the various questions of the journalists, Zelenski has introduced three new topics in the discussion: Trump to intervene for « removing the Russians » from the territory of Ukraine, the US to be paid by the Russians « , because they have triggered the war, and, finally, it is » « Who started the war has to pay, » says Zelenski, adding that « if we do not get security guarantees, we will not have a ceasefire, nothing will work. »
The brown « security guarantees » long carved by Zelenski is based on the hypothesis launched by it according to which Ukraine is « a shield to the Russian offensive on the whole of Europe » and that the struggle of the Ukrainians is in fact for the defense of Europe and that is why the US and Europeans must help it. Trump, on the contrary, believes that Putin is not going to violate the peace agreement that will be concluded, it has no expansionist intentions, Europeans can offer the guarantees they want, but the security guarantees offered by the US will only be those made by themselves by the fact that the Americans will lead to Ukraine equipment and workers to work.
Recap, however, I believe that the president of Ukraine has committed an error of orientation. With an agreement proposed by his country, insisting on him to sign him in Washington, declaring that he needs the US because the support of Europeans is not enough-and yet Zelenski did not see his interest.
It seemed to be too interested in the end of the stated purpose for which he had necessarily wanted to reach the White House, that is, signing that agreement. Or maybe he made this visit with a completely different purpose-namely to ask Trump the three things mentioned above. This change of direction caused the collision.
Even though the first to open the hostilities was JD Vance, however, Zelenski did not know how to avoid the clinch and put gas over the fire in a sacrosant of America, the « precious oval office ». This caused Trump to say heavy words, « what you do is disrespect for this country, » warning him that « without the help of the US, you will not be a harsh guy as you seem now. »
A larger cock for Europe
What follows? If Trump closes aid taps to Ukraine, the fate of this country will depend on Europeans. They rushed Zelenski under their wing and will probably guide all the steps from now on.
The question is whether Europeans will be able to assure Zelenski what has so far received from Americans.
Most specialized comments believe that Europeans do not have the necessary resources to complete the goal left by the Evantic withdrawal of US aid for Ukraine. The establishment of its own army takes several years and involves costly investments. The effect will be an even more accentuated weakening of the economy of European states.
We no longer count the cold relations between the Brussels establishment and the White House. Europe, which is in the situation where it itself needs the US help, can not provide quality, no quantitative military, industrial, logistics, etc. that the Americans have offered. For example, it is enough for Elon Musk to close the light in his satellites that provide all Ukraine's military communications and we can figure out what dramatic effects would have for this country the disappearance of American
Trump sent Zelenski to Twiter that « he can return to the White House when he is prepared for peace. » But I do not think that the President of Ukraine has the moral force to return to the table. Especially if at home he will be regarded as a hero for how he resisted the Aphront received from the American allies.
In such complicated blockages, history shows that there is a solution that never fails: the return to the people. Zelenski could enter the democratic history of the world if, in the current situation of his country, they would call the people to renew their legitimacy. This would be the true « palm » given to the Americans.
Until then, Italian Prime Minister Georgia Meloni launched a proposal in the middle of the night that seems simple as a good day: to organize a US -EU summit in which each party will say what it has to say, looking for the largest common denominator. Easy to say, hard to do. But the longest road starts with the first step. Mrs. Meloni's idea can represent this first step.