Deutsche welcome the most important guest Putin – The World

The Chinese President stays in Moscow this week and together with Vladimir Putin, he attends Military Mimod, which Moscow again shows his military force, especially and guest from Beijing. After the parade, you stated Beijing standing « shoulder with shoulder » with Moscow against « Hegemonist violence » – a clear message directed against the customs pressure of the American President Donald Trump and Western sanctions to Russia due to Ukraine. « Interconnection between China and Russia is becoming more deeper, and pragmatic cooperation creates an unbreakable relationship, » you said.

Bjorn Alexander Duben, an expert in Russian-Chinese relations in China, believes that the Singe visit has a « high symbolic meaning », noting that, except Brazilian president, Silva, you were the world leader who attended Paradi.

Duben states that between the two leaders there is a « personal connection » and that you « pays more time communication with paths than with any other world leader. »

Russia needs China more than ever

As West sanctions are choking the Russian economy due to the war in Ukraine, Moscow increasingly relies on Beijing as a key partner for export energy and raw materials.

China became the main economic partner of Russia, with a trade exchanges, which has grown to about 216 billion euros last year. In 2022. Two countries signed the « partnership without restrictions » on economic, military and diplomatic levels to oppose Western influence.

Since the beginning of the war, Russian exports in China increased by 63% and reached around 115 billion euros, while Chinese imports strengthened the Russian war eonomia, even more closing together.

Instead of weakening under pressure from the conflict, Chinese-Russian relations experienced the take. Although Beijing officially declares neutrality, a favorable agreement with the Kremlin buying Russian oil and gas at reduced prices, while European countries reduced dependence. Russia is now the main Chinese supplier of crude oil, with a share of approximately fifth of total imports.

The two forces further strengthened military connections, more often maintained joint military exercises and exchanging modern military technology. Although the Russian economy has proven to be more resistant to Western sanctions than many predicted, without Chinese support, Moscow would be found in « serious problems, » DW said.

Without China, Russia would still have warmer

In addition to greater energy sources, Duben says that China has enabled Russia access to industrial products and technologies that itself cannot export it. According to him, without Chinese goods « Double Sneak », therefore, both civilian and military, « Russian armed forces should probably not continue military campaign against Ukraine ».

One of the goals of Tramp’s Customs on Chinese import was to force Beijing in the defense in relation to Washington and the rest of the world. But China retaliated, warning the countries rushing to trade trading agreements with the United States not to undermine Chinese interests. In relationships with Washington, Beijing remains defiant, but calculated.

« China is positioned as a stable counterbalance to unpredictable, protectionist America, emphasizing the Alliance with Moscow as a foundation of global stability, » Düben said.

Fear of Sentencing for Trade with Russia

Given that American customs are reached by the Chinese goods, and the American market closed for Chinese exporters, they may be more and more to Russia, although this market is much less and paying far weaker than American. However, they are faced with possible American penalties for third-country companies that are still operating with Russia. That is why many Chinese banks are nopseling in cooperation with Russian partners.

« These secondary sanctions are a serious source of tension in a Chinese-Russian trade and a significant obstacle to further expansion of trade relations, » Duben believes. « But as trading relations with the United States become less and less attractive for China, Chinese banks and companies could be more prone to ignoring American sanctions in cooperation with Russia. »

Earlier this year, the secondary sanctions briefly disrupted Russian oil in China, when the American Ministry of Finance sanctioned 183 ships, two large Russian oil companies and related companies. This stroke led to a decline in Russian exports of crude oil in China by 18% in February. But thanks to the Chinese solution that includes alternative ships and payment systems, the Russian « Fleet from the shadows » exports continued.

The gas pipeline is only planned

Although Duben notes that greater focus on Russia could further encourage trade, he expects that growth « though to remain modest » compared to Chinese global trade.

The central topic of talks of Putin and shines during the Chinese visit was the planned gas pipeline of Siberia’s power, which should deliver 50 billion cubic meters from the Russian gas in Northwestern Siberia to China via Mongolia.

Moscow for years is tirelessly trying to attract Beijing to conclude the project, but the bilges’ trasa has not yet been agreed, which shows Chinese negotiating superiority. The Russian Energy Minister Sergej Civiľov said on Thursday that negotiations in the « active phase », although it was unlikely that the agreement would be reached during Sievis visit.

This unbalanced relationship clearly shows the weakening of Russian negotiating power in partnership dominated by Beijing, confirming Chinese dominance until Moscow adequates its global ambitions increasingly.

« Given the total dependence of Russia about China, Moscow is increasingly related to Chinese interests and now increasingly occupies the position of the one who must pray for support, » Düben concludes.