Celebration 80. Anniversary of the victory day will be disappointing for Russia, especially espionage expert explains why – the world

While the march of transforming mere explodes above the Red Square, will the air attack be heard?

The threat of shocks of Ukrainian unmanned aircraft and rockets are just one of the questions that bell over Russian celebration of victory 9. May.

Second revolves around the guest list: which foreign dignitars will come and what will the military presence provide countries like North Korea?, It says in analyzing for Split Edward Lucas, a long-time correspondent economist from Berlin, Moscow, Vienna and Baltic States and an internationally recognized espionage expert, subversion, use and abuse of history.

Even without these uncertainty, the military peak of the Russian official calendar is false. Among the topics that Vladimir Putin will have to leave out of his speech as follows.

The Soviet Union was a conspirator with Hitler before the war. Stalin sabotaged his own armed forces to wave pre-war purges, which has greatly deteriorated the success of the Nazi invasion.

Western help was crucial for the survival of the Soviet Union. Most of the fighting was taken outside today’s territory of Russia. « The liberation of » Eastern Europe quickly turned into occupation.

With all the bombastic story about the « eternal glory », the cult of the « Great Fragrance » is not deeply appreciated by time. The war was a traumatic topic in the Soviet Union until Brežnve’s years. Just as real memories fade, longing for borrowed courage grows.

And not only in Russia. Other countries also indulge in a selfish and selective approach to history. It is quite correctly celebrating the victory day (May for Western Allies, 9. May for those who mark the capitulation of the Nazi Germany, the day later, before the Soviet side).

But the best way to honor the victims of fallen is thinking about the mistakes they led to the war.

The main among them is complacency. None of the countries needed to fight for life in a strategic diplomacy that could escape war.

After 1918, the big countries had imposed meaningless criminal conditions by Germany and Austro-Hungaria and alienated Japan.

They were not all able to deal with the inevitable results. Over and over again, they showed regimes in Berlin, Rome and Tokyo that aggression had passed unpunished.

They procrastinated and procrastinated and worried about their own arrangements. The Molotov-Ribenthrop Pact between the Nazi and the Soviet regime was undoubtedly the peak of Cynicism, but it was preceded by the years in which other countries tried to buy time – and then lost it.

Anglo-German Maritime Agreement from 1935 should be mentioned here in a special mention. Year, which was handed over to Hitler’s Baltic Sea.

At the edge of the war, the decision making was shocking short-sighted. Only in the spring of 1938. Poland and Lithuania have normalized relations.

Neither Poland nor Hungary helped Czechoslovakia resist Nazi aggression. Instead, they saw it as a chance to occupy the territory. Sweden remained neutral when the Soviet Union attacked Finland. No no more wider picture has seen from the Baltic to the Black.

The most important thing, no one wasted enough on defense. The Spanish Civil War gave a premonition of a new type of war, with German « pike » that bombed unarmed cities in deceptive attacks.

However, Hitler’s « Blickrig » (offensive combined forces) continued to surprise his victims. The newly reflected concrete in Polish fortifications has yet hardened when the Germans attacked.

It all looks terribly familiar now. Far from the punishment of aggression, we showed Putin that the nuclear blackmail functions.

We saw that a new type of warfare in Ukraine, but most countries barely began to pay time and money they need to prepare for a new way.

Our decision making is slow, burdened with bureaucracy and duplication, and burdened with ancient complaints (can someone explain why Ireland is not in NATO?). We do what we feel we can, not what we know we have to.