Can we get away with the customs war? – Blikk

• Antal Rogán has already been removed from the Washington sanction list
• The relationship between the Hungarian government with Russia and China is particularly close
• The United States has restricted the visa free of Hungarian citizens

Over the past three months, our country has hardly benefited from taking power in the United States, for example, the outbreak of customs war sown sinister shadows on the Hungarian economythe signs, however, show that the situation may change. The booming relationship between the two countries was analyzed with István Gyarmati diplomat and former ambassador.

Antal Rogán can breathe

Prime Minister’s cabinet chief in the last days of Joe Biden’s governance was raised by citing corruption On the American sanction list that the Hungarian government considered to be political revenge. Finally, on April 15, Antal Rogán’s name was unexpectedly deleted.

– I managed to do this very soon, and in such a short time, no one is getting off the list. Interestingly, there was no public procedure, the Americans seemed to hurry. It’s a serious gesture from Washington Said Gyarmati.

Visa -free

The most painful result of the conflict between the Hungarian government and the previous Democratic administration was the termination of the tax agreement between the two countries in 2023.

– As long as there is no agreement on avoiding double taxation, US investors will not come to us very much, as Hungarian investments will not be out. I think the next step will be to solve this as it does not need a particular procedure while both parties have a fundamental interest The diplomat explained.

Also two years ago received another big slap in Hungary: the United States restricted the visa -free of Hungarian citizens Safety deficiencies in the simplified naturalization process. According to Gyarmati, this is a harder case, but if the Americans tell us what checks are expected and we carry out, the original state can be restored in a short period of time.

Customs war

The entire world economy has shifted that Donald Trump had hit most of its trading partners, including the European Union, with significant duty. Although The 20 percent duty was suspended for 90 daysBrussels fears that there will be no agreement, which would be a serious argument because of the sensitivity of the forint and the exposure to the automotive industry. But may it make sense for « separate » politics?

– The issue of customs war is a community competence, only the EU itself can discuss it with Washington, not Budapest. However Said Gyarmati, adding that this is the most important topic for the US government, but it is difficult to predict, as the Republicans behind Trump are also less and less supported by the President’s customs war.

Russian and Chinese cooperation

The Hungarian government has a particularly close relationship with Russia and China compared to other EU countries, which are clearly competing in certain areas for the United States. István Gyarmati pointed out that the US executive of the US accredited to Budapest has already clearly told the Hungarian leadership that in the future we would be worth buying more and more of the American LNG LNG Leng Gas instead of Russian energy.

– We do not yet know how Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will be in the light of Ukrainian negotiations. You may be buddies and you will not disturb Washington in the Hungarian-Russian relationship, but Trump may be angry with the Russian president if you are confronting it The former ambassador explained. The US President is currently trying to « press » Beijing, which is well illustrated by the Customs War. It is no coincidence that Washington has already received a signal to relax Hungary on its Chinese relations.

Personal relationships

The relationship between the two countries is almost week by week. On Monday, Mike Waltz, the president’s senior national security consultant, welcomed his Hungarian colleague, Marcell Biró, and on Tuesday Marco Rubio, head of American diplomacy, discussed by Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó.

– Vice -President JD Vance Orbán is a political director and Viktor Orbán often consults with Donald Trump, so foreign ministers do not have the same role as usual. But it does not follow from Rubio’s personality and the role that he could be explicitly buddy, he is more of a « bad cop » in American foreign policy Said Gyarmati.

But because of the approach of the two countries, Budapest, as a city, can be appreciated in international diplomacy?

« It is not excluded that the Hungarian capital can also accommodate high -level meetings, but they can only be important for political propaganda, and there would be hardly any actual diplomatic and economic benefits, » said István Gyarmati.