Analysis of 15 Great Election Battles: Here’s who can reversal even though they lose and who still hopes in vain
Reversal. This is a key term that many candidates are counting on in the second round, and with the three largest cities, we bring 12 more extremely important and tense political battles in which it can happen even though they have not been so much in the public focus so far. Zagreb as the capital attracts the greatest attention and runner -up Marija Selak Raspudic received public support Tomislav Jonjicwhich won about 6.5 percent. Although the current Mayor Tomislav Tomasevic is in leadership with a high 47.5 percent support, Selak Raspudic hopes to get him on face -to -face confrontation. She will be on all three national television next week.
– I want citizens to show us trust based on hope, not because they hate someone, but because they think they can do better. Zagreb is the capital of Croatia, a city that needs strong momentum and development – she believes.
In order to catch up with the difference, it is necessary to get the voters of all other candidates without Tomasevic not getting a single new voice, which is realistically impossible. Another option is to attract so many new voters who stayed at home, part of the other candidates, and that Tomasevic stayed at home convinced of the victory. But even if she won, Selak Raspudic couldn’t rule because we can! The SDP already have a majority in the Assembly, so the citizens of Zagreb would have to go to new elections in a month. So the most likely scenario is that its list will be built and learned to be ready for the four years.
He is quite different in Split, where the HDZ man Tomislav Šuta has a large pool of voters dissatisfied with the mayor Ivica Puljkowhich has an advantage of only five percentage points. Yesterday we wrote about the combinations for the Council and that Puljak would hardly go to the majority. Suta has already received the support of Zeljko Kerum, who won nearly 15 percent, Puljak also resented SDP Davor Matijevic, who is the fourth, and below the alternative options. So the turnaround in a difficult battle is very possible.
And the situation in Split is also reflected in the county, in which independent Ivana Nincevic Lesandric Hunting a big difference for HDZ’s candidate Blazenko Boban. She has the support of Puljak, gave her, some will say too late, and the SDP in the second round. But HDZs and Kerums The voters will be motivated by the demolition of Puljak, but also the defense of the county in which the HDZ with Kerum’s leaf has a majority. So it would be a miracle that the independent Ninčević Lesandrić made a turnaround.
Mayor of Sinj Miro Bulj He says that he will do his best in the county and the city for Nincevic Lesandric to win, but he is also seriously swinging his armchair, although he is the relative winner of the first round of the election and personally and for the Council. But that « relative » could be not enough. Bulj has an advantage of just 6.5 percent ahead of HDZ’s Igor Vidaline from the first round. But the third list is a list of doctors of Stipislav Jadrijevic, who is in the county with Kerum. HDZ Vidalina told Slobodna Dalmacija that he had already made an alliance with Jadrijevic, so they have a majority of 10 councilors. Bulj has 8 and the SDP one. Bulj no longer has a majority, and the overflow of these voters could lead to a turnaround and that the bridge loses the only city to rule.
– I’m not afraid of that, let them be revealed. The HDZ has usurped everything and I believe that the people will see who has fought for Sinj throughout their lifespan. I believe that I will win, and then in the agreement of most everyone is welcome except the HDZ. I wouldn’t even take home advice with them – Bulj is shaking even though he is aware that he will not go smoothly.
In Rijeka and Primorje-Gorski Kotar County, a situation is also an extremely intertwined situation. Independent Iva Rinčić has a great advantage in Rijeka over the mayor so far Mark Filipovicwho hopes for a turnaround. And they need the SDP votes, who did not want to run him. If he succeeded, then a reversal can be hoped, but it is impossible if Rinčić also picks up the voices of HDZ and other dissatisfied candidates. And on the action of young people and parties supporting Rincic depends on the Battle of the County, in which the SDP’s Ivica Lukanovic There are only seven percentage points advantage over HDZ’s Alen Ruzic. Pact Rincic-HDZ would provide her with easier river reign, but she would lose her left voters, but he would bring the HDZ to the county.
– I do not mean to support anyone from candidates for the county, citizens will decide for themselves – Rincic tells us.
The SDP, however, could lose the county, which is a fortress if the HDZ candidate manages to obtain the right-wing candidates of Most and Domino, who had their candidates.
But while his loss threatens him in Kvarner, the SDP has the opportunity to make a turnaround in Varaždin County and get the mayor. The relative winner is the current mayor, HDZ’s Anđelko Stričak, and for 10 percent points the SDP is lagging behind Bruno Ister. But in that county almost 20 percent received Radimir Cacicand the mandates in the Assembly won the North Platform. With their voters, Ister not only does a turnaround, but it can count on most. The wind in the back gives him the fact that the Varaždin referendums supported the SDP mayor Nevena Bosilj.
The most striking county race is the one for the County of Koprivnica-Križevci, where the current mayor is Darko Koren With the support of the HDZ won 35.9 percent of the vote and the SDP Tomislav Golubić 35.2 percent. But the key is the third player to win – Željko Lackovićotherwise an independent leader of Đurđevac, but entered Parliament on the DP list. He won more than 26 percent of the vote and without a majority in the county. Lackovic was an opposition to Korena in the Assembly, but will he support him for the national situation?
– I will not support anyone publicly and I told them that, but I am ready to go with the winner of the composing of the majority. So if they want the support of my voters, let them adjust their programs to my and the county gets pensioners’ homes and finally start developing tourism. There are four other mayors on my list and, if they start to break us, then there will be another story – Lackovic tells us.
So the turnaround is possible, but uncertain.
Karlovac is a city that is valid as the HDZ bastion, but there is also a turning point. HDZ Mayor Damir Mandic from the first round carries 13 percentage points advantage over Drazenka Polovic From we can!, which supports the SDP. But third place Dimitrije voterwho won nearly 18 percent of the vote, supported Polovic, so the difference was canceled. And the fourth -ranked list is against Mandic because Karlovac is tormented by water problems, the old core is unbuttoned and collapsed. In the council, most will depend on one mandate of retirees, who are waiting for the winner.
– The HDZ has been in power for 30 years in Karlovac and has been tormented by basic existential things. It is clear that the vertical of national and local authorities does not work here and the city is ripe for change, which also shows the first round. That’s why I believe in victory – says Polovic.
But the HDZ has some chances to restore the city symbol – Knin. Independent Marijo Cacic has a great advantage and almost won in the first round, but the HDZ man Robert Maricwho received more than 20 percent, hopes for a turnaround. Interestingly, it will be crucial whether she will receive the voices of Josipa Pleslic (ex Rimac), who, despite the three indictments, received almost 20 percent of the vote.
Istria and Pula were once symbols of IDS rule, but that changed. But it is interesting that if the SDP candidates want to make turns, they must count on IDS and their voters. Sanja Radolovic She has already made a kind of turnaround by winning in the county a little more than the current mayor and former IDS Boris Miletic. If he wants to repeat it in the second round, he has to win the IDS voters, whose candidate was third. With IDS, she could have a majority in the Assembly. IDS voters are so between the choice to vote for the former party boss or a new person.
Pula had as many as 10 candidates, and the voices scattered in the first round. Independent Filip Zoricic nevertheless ended the first but Peja Grbin He breathes his neck with a small difference of 3.5 percent, while the IDS candidate was third. Grbin now has to unite dissatisfied with the current leadership of the city and the turnaround is possible in that case, but Zoricic is not without trump card, so the battle will be uncertain.
In Zagreb County, we practically watch Deja Vu from the past elections. Independent Stjepan Kozic is at about 42 percent and SDP’s counter-candidate Mihael Zmajlovic to 30 percent. It was almost equally four years ago, so Kozic won the sixth term in the second round, and now he goes to the seventh, which is the longest -running mayor.
– Almost 60 percent of voters voted for a change and it is clear that it is needed and that people will support it. Kozic has no majority – says Zmajlovic why he believes he will succeed this time.
In the Šibenik-Knin County SDP Petar Baranovic He also hopes a turnaround because about 10 percent behind the HDZ man is lagging behind Pag Rakic. But given the arrangement of votes among other lists, the HDZ seems to return that county.
But the HDZ is shaking Pozega even though the turnaround would be a surprise. HDZ candidate Borislav Milicevic has 44 percent and SDPs Mitar Obradovic 37 percent from the first round. However, again the key is in the third, independent list that won 14 percent for the Council. Obradovic agrees with them to cooperate and, if he succeeds, has a majority, and then the race for the mayor could be slightly able to take place.